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Current Win Probability
Morpeth Town 35.2%
Draw 27%
Warrington Rylands 37.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.1%
25.8%
48.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
25%
46.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Morpeth Town's performance.
Warrington Rylands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Warrington Rylands might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morpeth Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Rylands than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Warrington Rylands could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Morpeth Town - Warrington Rylands Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 4)
14', 0 - 1, Burton J. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Wood H. ⚽,
43', 0 - 3, Waring G. ⚽,
45', 0 - 4, Waring G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morpeth won 0.
Morpeth is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Warrington Rylands has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Morpeth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Morpeth won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 1.1:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Morpeth won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).
Watch
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