Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 20

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Solitude (Belfast)

Referee: Thompson L. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Cliftonville		Glenavon

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	6.9
	1.35	5.53	7.28
	1.37	5.19	6.76	Watch
	1.33	5	7.5
	1.32	4.65	7.9
	1.36	4.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.32)	4.98 ↑ (4.71)	7.22 ↓ (9.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cliftonville
68.6%

Draw
18.6%

Glenavon
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

19.7%

10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.3%

18.4%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cliftonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Glenavon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cliftonville than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cliftonville, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Cliftonville - Glenavon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cliftonville (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Glenavon (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cliftonville (votes: 1 - 25%). Glenavon (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Morrison P. (G) 4. Addis J. 22. Casey O. 9. Curran R. 8. Hale R. 36. Hawthorne K. 25. Keaney J. 3. Lavery T. 32. McWoods E. 41. Sheridan J. 6. Wilson H.	13. Byrne M. (G) 25. Bosakani B. 3. Burns P. 8. Malone J. 15. McClelland K. 29. McGovern P. 6. McKeown B. (C) 2. McMullan J. 4. Murphy H. 14. O'Kane O. 31. Quinn N.
Substitutes
20. Barr C. 10. Falls C. 42. Fapetu A. 19. Gormley J. 12. Leppard S. 1. Ridd L. (G) 17. Tohill E.	40. Hamill S. (G) 21. Kee J. 11. Mallon S. 36. McGerrigan L. 44. McShane C. 26. Smith C. 20. Wilson B.
Coaches
Magilton J.	O'Connor M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, McWoods E. ⚽,
9', Byrne M. ↓, Hamill S. ↑,
29', 1 - 1, Malone J. ⚽,
40', Casey O. 🟨,
41', 1 - 2, Bosakani B. ⚽,
43', 2 - 2, Sheridan J. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 2, Addis J. ⚽,
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Casey O. 🟨,
63', Sheridan J. ↓, Falls C. ↑,
63', Curran R. ↓, Barr C. ↑,
63', Lavery T. ↓, Fapetu A. ↑,
67', Hale R. 🟨,
71', Wilson H. 🟨,
74', Wilson H. ↓, Leppard S. ↑,
76', 🟨,
83', 4 - 2, Keaney J. ⚽,
84', Quinn N. ↓, McGerrigan L. ↑,
84', O'Kane O. ↓, Wilson B. ↑,
88', Hale R. ↓, Tohill E. ↑,
90+5', 5 - 2, Keaney J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cliftonville won 3.

Cliftonville is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Glenavon has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Glenavon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cliftonville is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cliftonville won 15 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 38:17. (average 1.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cliftonville won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:10. (average 2.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cliftonville FC
Northern Irish Premiership
06.12.25	Glentoran - Cliftonville	2:2 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
02.12.25	Glentoran - Cliftonville	2:1 penalties ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
29.11.25	Portadown - Cliftonville	2:3 ✺
22.11.25	Cliftonville - Coleraine	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Cliftonville - Dungannon Swifts	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TLWWW
- Glenavon FC
Northern Irish Premiership
06.12.25	Glenavon - Bangor	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Glenavon - Ballymena United	3:1 ✺
21.11.25	Larne - Glenavon	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Crusaders - Glenavon	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Glenavon - Glentoran	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
30.08.25	Cliftonville - Glenavon	3:1
12.04.25	Cliftonville - Glenavon	2:0
15.02.25	Glenavon - Cliftonville	3:1
Northern Irish Cup
01.02.25	Cliftonville - Glenavon	3:2 ET
Northern Irish Premiership
19.10.24	Cliftonville - Glenavon	0:0
17.08.24	Glenavon - Cliftonville	1:2
17.02.24	Cliftonville - Glenavon	4:2

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