The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club Almagro 30.6%
Draw 34.8%
Defensores de Belgrano 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.4%
32.9%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.2%
34.3%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Club Almagro - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Almagro will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Defensores will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Defensores: 8% – 64.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Limousin C. (G) 4. Gamba L. 2. Molina M. 6. Falabella L. 3. Gancedo M. 8. Rodriguez L. 5. Jerez Silva L. (C) 11. Vasquez D. 7. Orlando J. 9. Dornell T. 10. Vedoya F.
1. Pietrobono I. (G) 4. Massaccesi A. 2. Laumann F. 6. De Tomasso J. 3. Barbero M. 5. Gutierrez I. 8. Benitez A. 10. Gomez B. 11. Moyano P. 7. Aguirre E. (C) 9. Zeineddin N.
Substitutes
14. Basualdo N. 12. Champagne N. (G) 17. Ibanez J. 20. Leal L. 13. Mattia F. 19. Mendoza J. 16. Montenegro M. 15. Punet L. 18. Silva G.
20. Aquilino G. 17. Gonzalez E. 16. Hernandez A. 15. Laba M. 13. Martinez L. 12. Nocetti A. (G) 19. Pereyra F. 14. Sanchez S. 18. Sayago D.
Coaches
Sparapani L.
Mayor C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Vedoya F. ⚽,
29', Jerez Silva L. 🟨,
34', De Tomasso J. 🟨,
41', Orlando J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Zeineddin N. ↓, Aquilino G. ↑,
63', Aguirre E. 🟨,
67', Aguirre E. ↓, Pereyra F. ↑,
67', Moyano P. ↓, Sayago D. ↑,
67', Barbero M. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
73', Vasquez D. ↓, Montenegro M. ↑,
80', De Tomasso J. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
83', Vedoya F. ↓, Basualdo N. ↑,
83', Orlando J. ↓, Leal L. ↑,
84', Dornell T. 🟨,
85', Limousin C. 🟨,
90+1', Gamba L. 🟨,
90+3', Gancedo M. ↓, Mattia F. ↑,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Almagro won 2.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Almagro won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Almagro won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.