The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores de Belgrano 37.8%
Draw 32.8%
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 29.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.7%
29.7%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
29.4%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensores de Belgrano's form might have worsened.
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores de Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
42.9%
14.3%
Defensores de Belgrano - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
1. Medina A. (G) 4. Mendoza G. 2. Massaccesi A. 6. De Tomasso J. 3. Rodriguez F. 5. Laba M. 10. Gomez B. 11. Moyano P. 8. Benitez A. 7. Aguirre E. (C) 9. Gonzalez E.
1. Rigamonti C. (G) 4. Cortez I. 2. Mondino D. (C) 6. Gonzales 3. Recalde M. 5. Antonio I. 8. Antonini F. 7. Esposito G. 10. Puch J. 11. Lencioni F. 9. Ferreyra B.
Substitutes
19. Cerato L. 15. Correa L. 14. Gamarra G. 16. Gutierrez I. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 18. Pugliese G. 17. Rossi I. 13. Segovia J. 20. Vecchio E.
16. Andrada B. 18. Barboza N. 14. Calderon E. 17. Cingolani L. 20. Galeano M. 13. Nadalin F. 12. Petruchi L. (G) 19. Servetto N. 15. Ubeda M.
Coaches
Mayor C.
Medran E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Gonzales 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', De Tomasso J. ↓, Segovia J. ↑,
55', Esposito G. ↓, Andrada B. ↑,
55', Puch J. ↓, Cingolani L. ↑,
56', Gomez B. ↓, Correa L. ↑,
56', Moyano P. ↓, Vecchio E. ↑,
62', Benitez A. 🟨,
67', 0 - 1, Lencioni F. ⚽,
71', 0 - 2, Cingolani L. ⚽,
80', Rodriguez F. ↓, Rossi I. ↑,
84', Laba M. ↓, Pugliese G. ↑,
85', Lencioni F. ↓, Nadalin F. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Gimnasia Mendoza has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.4:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Defensores won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.5:0.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Defensores de Belgrano - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.65%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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