The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores de Belgrano 52.8%
Draw 29.1%
Brown de Adrogué 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.2%
27.8%
14%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.5%
26.7%
13.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensores de Belgrano's form might have worsened.
Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores de Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Defensores de Belgrano - Brown de Adrogué Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wysocki M. (G)
6. Aguirre C.
5. Desio G.
8. Lovazzano L.
2. Masuero A.
11. Nouet F.
7. Nouet M.
3. Palomeque A.
4. Sangiovani R.
10. Sives T.
9. Tellas G.
Substitutes
17. Benitez F.
20. Buter L.
18. Castillo L.
14. Gamarra G.
13. Heredia M.
19. Lopez B.
15. Patrizio T.
12. Rehak G. (G)
16. Sproat M.
Coaches
. Brown J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Zeineddin N. ⚽,
23', Nouet F. 🟨,
23', Zeineddin N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', Nouet M. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
61', Nouet F. ↓, Castillo L. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Moyano P. ⚽,
70', 3 - 0, Salto C. (Pen),
73', Gutierrez I. ↓, Laba M. ↑,
78', Aguirre E. ↓, Pereyra F. ↑,
78', Zeineddin N. ↓, Pintos G. ↑,
78', Tellas G. ↓, Buter L. ↑,
78', Lovazzano L. ↓, Heredia M. ↑,
78', Aguirre C. ↓, Sproat M. ↑,
84', Salto C. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
84', Benitez A. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B (Apertura: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 2.
Recent matches Defensores de Belgrano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Brown de Adrogué is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recently Brown de Adrogué have a series of home games.
In this match Defensores de Belgrano is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Belgrano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.