Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 14

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Tres de Febrero (Jose Ingenieros)

Referee: Macheroni M. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Club Almagro		Los Andes

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.88	3.5	Watch
	2.3	2.7	3.5
	2.31	2.75	3.5	Watch
	2.42	2.76	3.65
	2.38	2.63	3.77	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.5
	2.38	2.85	3.37	Watch
	2.31	2.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.23)	2.76 ↓ (3.1)	3.54 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Club Almagro
39.9%

Draw
33.8%

Los Andes
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

30%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

29.2%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Los Andes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Andes than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Club Almagro - Los Andes Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Almagro will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Los Andes (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Andes (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez E. (G) 4. Garcia M. 6. Yegros U. 3. Gancedo M. 2. Vitale J. 7. Dornell T. 5. Jerez Silva L. 9. Cucchi P. 8. Luayza M. 10. Lattanzio C. 11. Gonzalez A.	1. Lopez S. (G) 4. Segalerba G. 2. Leizza B. 6. Marco F. 3. Diaz E. 8. Pereira G. 5. Arce C. (C) 7. Carrasco G. D. 10. Gerzel G. 9. Asenjo M. 11. Martinez F.
Substitutes
16. Baldunciel L. 15. Castro T. 17. Diosquez N. 14. Gamba L. 12. Limousin C. (G) 19. Orlando J. 18. Quiroga F. 13. Rios R. 20. Rodriguez A.	13. Barrientos L. 14. Bellone A. O. 20. Diaz E. 19. Perez T. 17. Rambert T. 12. Rivasseau F. (G) 15. Rodriguez F. 16. Sives T. 18. Villarreal F.
Coaches
Cordon J. L.	Lemos L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Marco F. 🟨,
39', Lopez S. ↓, Rivasseau F. ↑,
41', Lattanzio C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Yegros U. ⚽,
53', Martinez F. ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
53', Marco F. ↓, Villarreal F. ↑,
61', Lattanzio C. ↓, Castro T. ↑,
61', Luayza M. ↓, Quiroga F. ↑,
64', Gancedo M. 🟨,
68', Diaz E. 🟨,
71', Cucchi P. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
71', Dornell T. ↓, Orlando J. ↑,
72', Diaz E. 🟨,
76', Arce C. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
77', Diaz E. ↓, Rambert T. ↑,
88', Gonzalez A. ↓, Diosquez N. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Almagro might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Almagro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.05.25	Club Almagro - San Miguel	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Quilmes - Club Almagro	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Club Almagro - Racing de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
14.04.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Club Almagro - Colegiales	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWTLT
- Los Andes de Lomas de Zamora
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.05.25	Los Andes - Deportivo Madryn	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	San Miguel - Los Andes	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Los Andes - Deportivo Maipú	3:0 ✺
13.04.25	Quilmes - Los Andes	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
09.04.25	Rosario Central - Los Andes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.11.18	Los Andes - Club Almagro	0:1
11.02.18	Los Andes - Club Almagro	1:1
05.05.17	Club Almagro - Los Andes	0:0
07.10.16	Los Andes - Club Almagro	0:2
15.02.16	Club Almagro - Los Andes	1:2
Argentinian Primera B
19.11.14	Los Andes - Club Almagro	3:1
15.10.14	Club Almagro - Los Andes	0:1

Upcoming Matches