The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Quilmes 60.2%
Draw 26.8%
Club Almagro 12.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.7%
27.3%
14%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.7%
26.4%
14.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Quilmes - Club Almagro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marinelli G. (G) 4. Ortega A. 2. Romeo L. 6. Kippes A. 3. Bindella A. 8. Vega G. 5. Yangali J. 10. Batista A. 11. Vera U. 7. Martinez R. 9. Spetale A.
1. Gonzalez E. (G) 4. Asis G. 2. Cortave M. 3. Silcan E. 6. Vitale J. 5. Marchioni J. 8. Salto C. 10. Bustamante F. 11. Fernandes J. 7. Orlando J. 9. De La Vega F.
Substitutes
16. Bolivar A. 19. Bonacci P. 17. Colazo N. 18. Coronel J. 12. Glellel E. (G) 20. Lavezzi A. 13. Novillo J. 15. Ortega T. 14. Rodriguez M. (G)
17. Bustos J. 20. Dornell T. 14. Flores J. 16. Laba M. 18. Lopez T. 12. Mangudo F. (G) 19. Martinez E. 13. Negro B. 15. Tolosa N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Bindella A. 🟨,
44', Orlando J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', De La Vega F. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
46', Bindella A. ↓, Ortega T. ↑,
46', Vega G. ↓, Lavezzi A. ↑,
57', Martinez R. ↓, Colazo N. ↑,
58', Bustamante F. ↓, Lopez T. ↑,
58', Salto C. ↓, Bustos J. ↑,
65', Yangali J. 🟨,
65', Vera U. ↓, Coronel J. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Spetale A. ⚽, Batista A. (A),
77', Fernandes J. ↓, Dornell T. ↑,
77', Silcan E. ↓, Tolosa N. ↑,
78', Bustos J. 🟨,
84', Spetale A. ↓, Bolivar A. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Orlando J. ⚽, Vitale J. (A),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Quilmes is the clear favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).