Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 10

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes (Quilmes)

Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play
South-america	DGO Latin America
Venezuela	DSports 1


	Quilmes		Los Andes

	1	X	2
	2	2.9	4.5	Watch
	1.87	3	4.33
	1.99	2.95	4.2	Watch
	2.02	2.89	4.44	Watch
	1.83	3	4.75
	2	2.9	4.49	Watch
	1.99	2.95	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.09)	2.94 ↓ (2.95)	4.42 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quilmes
47.4%

Draw
31.6%

Los Andes
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

31.3%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

30.5%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Los Andes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Andes than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Quilmes - Los Andes Predictions

Users Predictions: Quilmes will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Quilmes will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Glellel E. (G) 4. Torrent F. 2. Aranda G. 6. Juarez M. 3. Bindella A. 8. Mino M. 5. Ramirez I. (C) 10. Roseti M. 11. Allende L. 7. Belinetz O. 9. Herrera E.	1. Lopez S. (G) 4. Bellone A. O. 2. Riquelme R. D. 6. Marco F. 3. Fernandez N. 8. Pereira G. 5. Arce C. (C) 7. Gomez M. 10. Gerzel G. 9. Asenjo M. 11. Perez T.
Substitutes
20. Capano J. 19. Coronel J. 18. Enrique M. 12. Gagliardo M. (G) 16. Kalinski E. 13. Perez F. 15. Postigo J. 14. Romeo L. 17. Schultz E.	12. Brey M. (G) 15. Canete G. 20. Diaz E. 19. Martinez F. 17. Paez A. M. 14. Sandoval A. 13. Segalerba G. 16. Sives T. 18. Villarreal F.
Coaches
Rondina S.	Lemos L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Arce C. 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Gomez M. ↓, Canete G. ↑,
46', Arce C. ↓, Villarreal F. ↑,
55', Riquelme R. D. ↓, Sandoval A. ↑,
55', Bellone A. O. ↓, Segalerba G. ↑,
57', Fernandez N. 🟨,
60', 1 - 0, Belinetz O. ⚽,
61', 🟨,
65', Mino M. ↓, Enrique M. ↑,
65', Roseti M. ↓, Kalinski E. ↑,
65', Herrera E. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
68', Perez T. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Enrique M. ⚽,
82', Juarez M. 🟨,
83', 🟨,
83', Juarez M. ↓, Postigo J. ↑,
86', Belinetz O. ↓, Schultz E. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Quilmes is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Los Andes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Quilmes is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Quilmes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.04.25	Quilmes - Racing de Córdoba	3:0 ✺
31.03.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Quilmes	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Quilmes - Colegiales	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
22.03.25	Central Córdoba - Quilmes	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.03.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Quilmes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLWWW
- Los Andes de Lomas de Zamora
Copa Argentina
09.04.25	Rosario Central - Los Andes	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.04.25	Los Andes - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
28.03.25	Racing de Córdoba - Los Andes	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Los Andes - Tristán Suárez	2:0 ✺
17.03.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Los Andes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.09.18	Quilmes - Los Andes	2:0
07.10.17	Quilmes - Los Andes	1:0

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