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Current Win Probability
Club América 77.6%
Draw 14.9%
Olimpia Tegucigalpa 7.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68%
18.6%
13.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70%
18.1%
12.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Club América's performance.
Olimpia Tegucigalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olimpia Tegucigalpa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Club América that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpia Tegucigalpa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
28.6%
14.3%
Club América - Olimpia Tegucigalpa Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. América will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Olimpia will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. América (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - América (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. América (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Malagon L. (G) 5. Alvarez K. 3. Reyes I. 4. Caceres S. 26. Borja C. 17. Rodrigo Dourado 6. dos Santos J. (C) 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 28. Sanchez E. 7. Rodriguez B. 11. Davila V.
1. Menjivar E. (C) 19. Arboleda Y. 2. Hernandez E. 3. Queiroz F. 31. Sanchez C. 8. Rodriguez E. 15. Guity K. 32. Mulet A. 7. Pinto J. 9. Benguche J. 23. Alvarez J.
Substitutes
14. Araujo N. 30. Cota R. (G) 29. Juarez R. 9. Martin H. 18. Mejia A. 35. Naveda S. 23. Raphael Veiga 33. Salas P. 32. Vazquez M. 12. Violante I. 19. Zuniga J.
12. Arzu M. 27. Bengtson J. 40. Bennett C. 21. Figueroa J. 77. Flores D. 6. Garcia F. 18. Garcia R. 44. Lobo E. 38. Mejia R. (G) 39. Ortiz A. 5. Rivas E. 22. Rodriguez O. (G)
Coaches
Jardine A.
Espinel E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Mulet A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', dos Santos J. ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
59', Gutierrez Torres A. H. ↓, Martin H. ↑,
63', Mulet A. ↓, Bennett C. ↑,
64', Rodriguez E. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
68', Arboleda Y. 🟨,
70', Arboleda Y. ↓, Bengtson J. ↑,
72', Davila V. ↓, Zuniga J. ↑,
72', Alvarez K. ↓, Violante I. ↑,
85', Pinto J. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
85', Guity K. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
Preview
First leg result: 2-1. Second leg.
América is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Olimpia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Olimpia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, América is the obvious favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, América won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Including home match between the teams, América won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
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Malagon L. (G) 
Caceres S. 
Borja C. 
Rodrigo Dourado 
Davila V. 
Menjivar E. (C) 
Mulet A. 
Ortiz A. 
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