Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse (Choluteca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Lobos UPNFM		Olimpia Tegucigalpa

	1	X	2
	3.7	3	1.95
	4.62	3	1.97
	4.31	3.15	1.92	Watch
	3.4	3.2	1.95
	4.3	2.92	1.9	Watch
	4.75	2.71	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↑ (3.94)	3 ↓ (3.5)	1.93 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lobos UPNFM
21.9%

Draw
30.6%

Olimpia Tegucigalpa
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

26.2%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Olimpia Tegucigalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Guity A. (G) 22. Ardon C. 4. Garcia J. 13. Gutierrez C. 30. Herrlein L. 20. Lopez E. 2. Lopez L. 8. Nunez J. 27. Pena K. (C) 3. Rodas Andrino G. J. 46. Ruiz J.	22. Rodriguez O. (G) 12. Arzu M. 27. Bengtson J. (C) 40. Bennett C. 21. Figueroa J. 77. Flores D. 6. Garcia F. 18. Garcia R. 44. Lobo E. 14. Ramirez S. 5. Rivas E.
Substitutes
25. Banzzety J. 65. Coello A. 21. Guity E. 11. Moreira R. 17. Padilla J. 6. Ponce J. 9. Rochez J. 1. Valladares C. (G) 16. Vasquez E. 5. Zuniga A.	23. Alvarez J. 19. Arboleda Y. 41. Avila E. 9. Benguche J. 15. Guity K. 2. Hernandez E. 1. Menjivar E. (G) 32. Mulet A. 39. Ortiz 7. Pinto J. 3. Queiroz F. 31. Sanchez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Herrlein L. 🟨,
12', Rivas E. 🟨,
45+1', Pena K. ↓, Rochez J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ruiz J. ↓, Moreira R. ↑,
53', Ardon C. 🟨,
58', Herrlein L. ↓, Guity E. ↑,
59', 0 - 1, Bengtson J. ⚽,
60', Ramirez S. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
61', Arzu M. ↓, Guity K. ↑,
61', Bengtson J. ↓, Arboleda Y. ↑,
62', Ardon C. ↓, Vasquez E. ↑,
70', Figueroa J. 🟨,
71', Lopez E. ↓, Ponce J. ↑,
73', Figueroa J. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
74', 🟨,
80', Lopez L. 🟨,
85', Flores D. ↓, Ortiz ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 0.

Olimpia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Olimpia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Olimpia has had a series of home games.

In this match, Olimpia is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 14:39. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.8:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Olimpia	8	5	2	1	19:7	12	17
9	UPNFM	8	2	2	4	7:12	-5	8

Last Results with these Odds

Lobos UPNFM - the odds 3.94 are the expected chance of winning is 23.31%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
01.02.26	Olancho - Lobos UPNFM	1:1 ✺
29.01.26	Choloma - Lobos UPNFM	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Lobos UPNFM - Real España	0:0 ✺
04.12.25	CD Marathón - Lobos UPNFM	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTTTL
- CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa
CONCACAF Champions Cup
03.02.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Club América	1:2 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
31.01.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Juticalpa	2:2 ✺
28.01.26	Olancho - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Génesis PN	1:0 ✺
07.01.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - CD Marathón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
05.10.25	Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:2
26.07.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Lobos UPNFM	2:0
05.03.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Lobos UPNFM	2:0
18.01.25	Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:1
09.11.24	Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:2
13.09.24	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Lobos UPNFM	3:1
24.04.24	Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:0

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