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Current Win Probability
Club América 52.6%
Draw 23.1%
Portland Timbers 24.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53%
23.8%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
23.8%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club América than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.7%
16.7%
41.7%
Club América - Portland Timbers Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. América will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Portland will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for América: 13.8% – 69.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. América (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Portland (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. América (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Portland (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Cota R. (G) 15. Orquin R. 4. Caceres S. 29. Juarez R. 34. Espinoza D. 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 13. Cervantes A. 28. Sanchez E. 11. Davila V. 19. Zuniga J. 7. Rodriguez B.
16. Crepeau M. (G) 27. Fory J. 29. Mosquera J. 20. Surman F. 13. Zuparic D. 23. Smith I. 10. Pereira da Costa D. 21. Chara D. 80. Ortiz J. 7. Lassiter A. 9. Mora F.
Substitutes
27. Aguirre R. 5. Alvarez K. 181. Bedolla N. (G) 26. Borja C. 6. dos Santos J. 8. Fidalgo A. 1. Malagon L. (G) 9. Martin H. 3. Reyes I. 32. Vazquez M. 12. Violante I. 10. Zendejas A.
11. Antony 22. Fernandez O. 88. Guerra G. 19. Kelsy K. 18. McGraw Z. 15. Miller E. 4. Miller K. 25. Muse T. (G) 41. Pantemis J. (G) 17. Paredes C.
Coaches
Jardine A.
Neville P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Lassiter A. ⚽, Pereira da Costa D. (A),
25', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Davila V. ↓, Zendejas A. ↑,
46', Zuniga J. ↓, Aguirre R. ↑,
49', Fory J. 🟨,
50', Sanchez E. 🟨,
51', Fory J. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Juarez R. ⚽, Rodriguez B. (A),
55', Pereira da Costa D. ↓, Antony ↑,
55', Mora F. ↓, Kelsy K. ↑,
67', Chara D. ↓, Paredes C. ↑,
67', Lassiter A. ↓, Miller K. ↑,
68', Sanchez E. ↓, Martin H. ↑,
82', Gutierrez Torres A. H. ↓, Violante I. ↑,
82', Caceres S. ↓, Reyes I. ↑,
86', Zendejas A. 🟨,
87', Crepeau M. 🟨,
90+7', Smith I. ↓, Guerra G. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, Rodriguez B. (Pen),
1, Paredes C. (Pen),
2, Zendejas A. (Pen),
2, Miller K. (Pen),
3, Reyes I. (Pen),
3, Antony (Pen),
4, Aguirre R. (Pen),
4, Guerra G. (Pen),
5, Martin H. (Pen),
Preview
América has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Portland is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, América is seen as the favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, América won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
Including home match between the teams, América won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.