Match Info

Leagues Cup - Round 2

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	RDS 2, RDS App, TSN 5
Mexico	Nu9ve, TUDN
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
World	Apple TV


	Club América		Minnesota United

	1	X	2
	1.67	4	4.5	Watch
	1.68	3.75	3.9
	1.7	3.9	4.3	Watch
	1.7	4.15	4.63
	1.7	4.01	4.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.27)	3.96 ↑ (3.5)	4.33 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club América
55.1%

Draw
23.5%

Minnesota United
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

26.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

26.8%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Club América's performance.

Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Minnesota United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Club América that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minnesota United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Club América - Minnesota United Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. América will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América: 68.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - América (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Minnesota (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Club América will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. América (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Minnesota (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Malagon L. (G) 3. Reyes I. 31. Lichnovsky I. 5. Alvarez K. 26. Borja C. 6. dos Santos J. 8. Fidalgo A. 19. Zuniga J. 10. Zendejas A. 11. Davila V. 9. Martin H.	97. St.Clair D. (G) 67. Harvey C. 15. Boxall M. 28. Diaz J. 23. Duggan M. 13. Markanich A. 26. Pereyra J. 20. Trapp W. 17. Lod R. 21. Hlongwane B. 14. Oluwaseyi T.
Substitutes
27. Aguirre R. 181. Bedolla N. (G) 4. Caceres S. 13. Cervantes A. 30. Cota R. (G) 34. Espinoza D. 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 29. Juarez R. 15. Orquin R. 7. Rodriguez B. 28. Sanchez E. 12. Violante I.	30. Gene O. 24. Gressel J. 12. Keller K. 90. Mesanvi L. 98. Randell A. 5. Romero N. 8. Rosales J. 1. Smir A. (G) 27. Taylor D. 9. Yeboah K.
Coaches
Jardine A.	Ramsay E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Oluwaseyi T. ⚽, Pereyra J. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Boxall M. (Own goal),
32', 1 - 2, Hlongwane B. ⚽, Pereyra J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Alvarez K. ↓, Violante I. ↑,
46', Fidalgo A. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
46', Lod R. ↓, Rosales J. ↑,
49', Lichnovsky I. 🟨,
54', 2 - 2, Zuniga J. ⚽, Zendejas A. (A),
63', Lichnovsky I. 🟨,
64', Diaz J. ↓, Yeboah K. ↑,
64', Duggan M. ↓, Romero N. ↑,
65', Davila V. ↓, Caceres S. ↑,
66', 2 - 3, Harvey C. ⚽, Pereyra J. (A),
73', dos Santos J. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
73', Martin H. ↓, Aguirre R. ↑,
84', Markanich A. ↓, Gene O. ↑,
88', Oluwaseyi T. ↓, Gressel J. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 3, Caceres S. ⚽,
Penalties (8 - 7)
1, Pereyra J. (Pen),
1, Rodriguez B. (Pen),
2, Yeboah K. (Pen),
2, Zendejas A. (Pen),
3, Trapp W. (Pen),
3, Caceres S. (Pen),
4, Harvey C. (Pen),
4, Reyes I. (Pen),
5, Gressel J. (Pen),
5, Aguirre R. (Pen),
6, Rosales J. (Pen),
6, Borja C. (Pen),
7, Boxall M. (Pen),
7, Sanchez E. (Pen),
8, Romero N. (Pen),
8, Violante I. (Pen),

Preview

In recent matches, América has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Minnesota is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, América is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club América
CONCACAF League Cup
30.07.25	Club América - Real Salt Lake	2:3 penalties ✺
Mexican Liga MX
26.07.25	Necaxa - Club América	1:1 ✺
Mexican Campeon de Campeones
20.07.25	Club América - Toluca	1:3 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
16.07.25	Club América - Tijuana	3:1 ✺
11.07.25	Juárez - Club América	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLWT
- Minnesota United
CONCACAF League Cup
30.07.25	Minnesota United - Querétaro	4:1 ✺
MLS
26.07.25	St. Louis City - Minnesota United	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Portland Timbers - Minnesota United	1:1 ✺
16.07.25	Minnesota United - Los Angeles	0:1 ✺
12.07.25	Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTLW

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