Match Info

Leagues Cup

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Nu Stadium (Miami, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Apple TV International


	Inter Miami		Club León

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.1	4	Watch
	2.05	3.40	2.95
	1.82	3.85	3.75
	1.84	4.04	4.19
	1.97	4.02	3.37	Watch
	2.05	3.9	3.2
	1.74	4.15	4.26	Watch
	1.84	3.95	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.65)	3.93 ↓ (4.61)	3.69 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Miami
50.3%

Draw
24.1%

Club León
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

20.2%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

19.6%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Miami's form might have worsened.

Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Miami, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club León than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	15.6%	59.4%

Inter Miami - Club León Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 8 - 25%). León will win (votes: 19 - 59.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for León: 42.4% – 76.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 33.3%). León (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Rios R. (G) 17. Fray I. 2. Lujan G. 16. Micael 32. Allen N. 7. de Paul R. (C) 42. Bright Y. 5. Casemiro 8. Segovia T. 56. Pinter D. 54. Delinois L.	23. Garcia O. (G) 7. Moreno I. 14. Romana J. 3. Guevara J. 5. Vegas S. 29. Rodriguez I. 16. Cortizo J. 20. Echeverria R. 6. Beltran Cruz F. 22. Santos S. 13. Arcila D.
Substitutes
76. Abadia-Reda C. 22. Ayala D. 13. Barraza L. (G) 15. Caicedo F. 37. Falcon M. 10. Messi L. 4. Mura F. 59. Plambeck P. 3. Reguilon S. 41. Ruiz D. 97. St.Clair D. (G) 70. Sumalla D.	19. Alvarado A. 25. Bellon P. 27. Cambindo D. 4. Colula B. 8. Dominguez Chonteco J. P. 15. Fierro S. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 203. Lara J. 181. Martinez I. (G) 185. Mora C. 26. Reyes S. 35. Valadez L.
Coaches
Hoyos A. G.	Gandolfi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Micael ↓, Caicedo F. ↑,
34', Segovia T. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Pinter D. ⚽, Fray I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Pinter D. ↓, Messi L. ↑,
46', Santos S. ↓, Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ↑,
46', Beltran Cruz F. ↓, Cambindo D. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Arcila D. ⚽, Cambindo D. (A),
54', 2 - 1, Bright Y. ⚽,
55', Casemiro 🟨,
55', Romana J. 🟨,
60', 2 - 2, Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ⚽, Rodriguez I. (A),
65', Allen N. ↓, Reguilon S. ↑,
65', Delinois L. ↓, Plambeck P. ↑,
67', Arcila D. 🟨,
68', Moreno I. ↓, Colula B. ↑,
79', Plambeck P. 🟨,
85', 2 - 3, Arcila D. ⚽, Cambindo D. (A),
85', Fray I. ↓, Mura F. ↑,
90+1', Arcila D. ↓, Valadez L. ↑,
90+1', Cortizo J. ↓, Lara J. ↑,

Preview

Inter Miami is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

León's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Inter Miami has had a series of home games.

Inter Miami could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Miami
CONCACAF League Cup
08.08.26	Inter Miami - Monterrey	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Inter Miami - Atlético San Luis	4:2 ✺
MLS
01.08.26	Inter Miami - Columbus Crew	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	CF Montréal - Inter Miami	0:1 ✺
22.07.26	Inter Miami - Chicago Fire	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTWW
- Club León
CONCACAF League Cup
08.08.26	Orlando City - Club León	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Nashville SC - Club León	0:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
01.08.26	Club León - Pachuca	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Tijuana - Club León	1:0 ✺
17.07.26	Club León - Atlas	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWWLL

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