The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club León 52%
Draw 24.6%
Tijuana 23.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45%
25.4%
29.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
25.3%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Club León's performance.
Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tijuana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club León than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Club León that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tijuana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
25%
12.5%
Club León - Tijuana Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. León will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tijuana will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for León: 29% – 96%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - León (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Tijuana (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. León (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tijuana (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Garcia Jordan (G) 2. Gauthier V. 5. Vegas S. 7. Moreno I. 185. Mora C. 29. Rodriguez I. 8. Dominguez Chonteco J. P. 20. Echeverria R. (C) 11. Diaz I. 22. Vallejo N. 27. Cambindo D.
2. Rodriguez A. (C) 3. Inzunza R. 4. Bilbao U. 6. Gomez A. 16. Vega A. 8. Tona I. 17. Arciga R. 34. Boya F. 10. Castaneda K. 22. Rivero I. 31. Abreu D.
Substitutes
19. Alvarado A. 13. Arcila D. 6. Beltran Cruz F. 16. Cortizo J. 24. Estrada A. 18. Funes Mori R. 23. Garcia O. (G) 28. Ramirez D. 26. Reyes S. 99. Rodriguez E.
32. Bagui Tobar D. O. 27. Blanco D. 9. El Ghezouani M. 29. Hernandez J. (G) 30. Martinez J. 33. Ortiz Orozco P. N. 187. Padilla G. 26. Perez A. 11. Preciado A. 20. Zapata A.
Coaches
Ambriz I.
Abreu S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Castaneda K. ⚽, Abreu D. (A),
11', Cambindo D. 🟨,
21', 0 - 2, Abreu D. ⚽, Arciga R. (A),
34', Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ↓, Cortizo J. ↑,
34', Vallejo N. ↓, Beltran Cruz F. ↑,
45+3', 0 - 3, Castaneda K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Boya F. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
55', Beltran Cruz F. 🟨,
60', Rivero I. 🟨,
61', Rodriguez I. ↓, Estrada A. ↑,
62', Gauthier V. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
62', Abreu D. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
62', Castaneda K. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
68', Mora C. ↓, Arcila D. ↑,
72', Inzunza R. ↓, Bagui Tobar D. O. ↑,
80', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
81', Preciado A. ↓, Padilla G. ↑,
83', Vega A. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, León won 2.
Recent performances by León have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tijuana is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Tijuana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
León will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Tijuana: Porozo J.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in León: Colula B.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Tijuana: Mora G.
(Groin Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, León won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, León won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).
Mexico
South America
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Garcia Jordan (G) 
Gauthier V. 
Vegas S. 
Moreno I. 
Diaz I. 
Vallejo N. 
Bilbao U. 
Boya F. 
Bagui Tobar D. O. 
El Ghezouani M. 
Martinez J. 
