Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Caliente (Tijuana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN


	Tijuana		Santos Laguna

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.65	3.95	4.7	Watch
	1.67	4.19	5.16
	1.62	4.24	4.97	Watch
	1.6	3.6	4.5
	1.62	4.05	4.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.51)	4.04 ↓ (4.55)	4.81 ↓ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tijuana
57.4%

Draw
23.2%

Santos Laguna
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

20.8%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

17.4%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tijuana's form might have worsened.

Santos Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tijuana - Santos Laguna Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Rodriguez A. (C) 3. Inzunza R. 12. Porozo J. 4. Bilbao U. 16. Vega A. 34. Boya F. 8. Tona I. 17. Arciga R. 10. Castaneda K. 11. Preciado A. 9. El Ghezouani M.	1. Acevedo C. (C) 22. Picon K. 19. Ortega H. 2. Amione B. 17. Echeverria E. 11. Gruezo C. 6. Guemez J. 21. Villalba F. 10. Bullaude E. 193. Gomez L. 9. Di Yorio L.
Substitutes
31. Abreu D. 32. Bagui Tobar D. O. 27. Blanco D. 6. Gomez A. 29. Hernandez J. (G) 30. Martinez J. 33. Ortiz Orozco P. N. 26. Perez A. 22. Rivero I. 20. Zapata A.	4. Abella J. 195. Cedillo N. 7. Dajome C. 185. Echilvestre J. C. 33. Holguin H. (G) 5. Lopez A. 13. Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 14. Orona E. 28. Perez J. 254. Vuoso L.
Coaches
Abreu S.	Tapia O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Bullaude E. ⚽, Di Yorio L. (A),
59', Porozo J. 🟥,
65', Boya F. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
66', Preciado A. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
67', Inzunza R. 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, Gomez A. ⚽, Tona I. (A),
77', Ortega H. 🟨,
78', Picon K. ↓, Abella J. ↑,
79', Gomez L. ↓, Dajome C. ↑,
84', Villalba F. ↓, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ↑,
84', Arciga R. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
84', Castaneda K. ↓, Rivero I. ↑,
90+10', 1 - 2, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ⚽, Guemez J. (A),
90+13', Di Yorio L. ↓, Orona E. ↑,
90+13', Bullaude E. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 2.

Recent form of Tijuana has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Santos Laguna has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Tijuana is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Tijuana: Mora G. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Santos Laguna: Lozano C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Amione B. (Injury) Sordo R. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:30. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Club Tijuana	10	4	3	3	15:14	1	15
16	Santos Laguna	10	3	1	6	10:15	-5	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX
04.03.26	Atlas - Tijuana	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Tijuana - UNAM	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Tijuana - Mazatlan	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Toluca - Tijuana	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Tijuana - Puebla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTTLT
- Santos Laguna
Mexican Liga MX
03.03.26	Santos Laguna - Cruz Azul	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Querétaro - Santos Laguna	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Club León - Santos Laguna	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Santos Laguna - Mazatlan	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Tigres UANL - Santos Laguna	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
24.09.25	Santos Laguna - Tijuana	1:0
20.04.25	Santos Laguna - Tijuana	0:4
18.08.24	Tijuana - Santos Laguna	3:1
15.03.24	Tijuana - Santos Laguna	2:2
04.10.23	Santos Laguna - Tijuana	2:1
12.03.23	Santos Laguna - Tijuana	3:2
25.08.22	Tijuana - Santos Laguna	0:2

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