The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tijuana 44.7%
Draw 26.2%
Santos Laguna 29.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.1%
24.8%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.3%
24.9%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Santos Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
28.6%
14.3%
Tijuana - Santos Laguna Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Santos Laguna will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
2. Rodriguez A. (C) 3. Fernandez R. 12. Porozo J. 6. Gomez A. 16. Vega A. 8. Tona I. 17. Arciga R. 11. Gonzalez F. 15. Rivero I. 7. Preciado A. 9. El Ghezouani M.
1. Acevedo C. (G) 3. Cuevas M. 18. Pardo F. (C) 25. Sanchez F. 28. Perez J. 7. Gonzalez D. 10. Bullaude E. 23. Caseres F. 21. Villalba F. 26. Sordo R. 20. Lozano E.
Substitutes
19. Abreu D. 4. Bilbao U. 34. Boya F. 13. Elias Manoel 202. Gonzalez J. 29. Hernandez J. (G) 18. Mejia A. 33. Ortiz Orozco P. N. 31. Padilla Y. 20. Zapata A.
4. Abella J. 19. Aguirre E. 17. Echeverria E. 193. Gomez L. 6. Guemez J. 33. Holguin H. (G) 29. Jimenez T. 5. Lopez A. 8. Mariscal Murra S. 77. Palacios K.
Coaches
Abreu S.
Alves R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Gonzalez F. ⚽, Preciado A. (A),
18', 2 - 0, Rivero I. ⚽,
27', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
29', Bullaude E. 🟨,
45+2', Sanchez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', Lozano E. 🟨,
64', Caseres F. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
64', Sordo R. ↓, Jimenez T. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Lozano E. ⚽, Bullaude E. (A),
68', Lopez A. 🟨,
69', 3 - 1, Rivero I. ⚽,
70', Arciga R. ↓, Bilbao U. ↑,
71', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
72', 4 - 1, Preciado A. ⚽, Vega A. (A),
76', Gonzalez F. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
79', Preciado A. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
79', Rivero I. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
79', Bullaude E. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
85', Perez J. ↓, Abella J. ↑,
85', Cuevas M. ↓, Echeverria E. ↑,
90+5', Tona I. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 11th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 2.
In recent outings, Tijuana has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Santos Laguna is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Tijuana could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Tijuana is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Santos Laguna: Amione B.
(Knee Injury)
Di Yorio L.
(Leg Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Tijuana: Mora G.
(Hip Injury)
Padilla Y.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Santos Laguna: Lozano C.
(Knee Injury)
Orona E.
(Leg Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tijuana has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:31 (averaging 1.3:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tijuana against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 15:13 goals (averaging 1.5:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Club Tijuana
14
5
6
3
22:18
4
21
11
Santos Laguna
14
6
1
7
20:20
0
19
Outrights of Mexican Liga MX for now
Club Tijuana: 3.09% Santos Laguna: 3.09%
Last Results with these Odds
Santos Laguna - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 27.03%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.