Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Caliente (Tijuana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN


	Tijuana		Mazatlan

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	7	Watch
	1.43	4.7	6.4	Watch
	1.44	4.71	7.32
	1.42	4.77	7.23	Watch
	1.4	4	6
	1.46	4.5	6.03	Watch
	1.41	4.75	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)	4.54 ↓ (4.77)	6.78 ↓ (7.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tijuana
65.6%

Draw
20.6%

Mazatlan
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

19.8%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

18.7%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tijuana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Tijuana - Mazatlan Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Mazatlan will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Rodriguez A. (C) 3. Inzunza R. 12. Porozo J. 4. Bilbao U. 16. Vega A. 8. Tona I. 17. Arciga R. 22. Rivero I. 10. Castaneda K. 11. Preciado A. 9. El Ghezouani M.	33. Rodriguez R. (G) 19. Merolla L. 5. Almada F. (C) 15. Rubio B. 7. Dudu 4. Diaz J. 21. Santos S. 14. Zaleta M. 25. Godinez S. 11. Barcenas Y. 10. Moreno Villegas O. F.
Substitutes
31. Abreu D. 32. Bagui Tobar D. O. 27. Blanco D. 6. Gomez A. 29. Hernandez J. (G) 25. Manzanarez O. 30. Martinez J. 33. Ortiz Orozco P. N. 187. Padilla G. 20. Zapata A.	13. Alcaraz Diaz V. A. (G) 202. Ben Rhouma A. 16. Esquivel J. 3. Franco R. 199. Gonzalez I. 28. Hernandez D. 20. Lainez M. 193. Lopez G. 17. Ovalle J. 31. Saavedra Nevarez A. A.
Coaches
Abreu S.	Bueno S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Castaneda K. ⚽, Arciga R. (A),
41', Rivero I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Moreno Villegas O. F. ↓, Ovalle J. ↑,
54', Diaz J. 🟨,
59', Arciga R. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Ovalle J. ⚽,
61', Preciado A. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
61', Rivero I. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
71', Arciga R. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
76', 🟨,
79', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
79', Inzunza R. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
81', Dudu ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
87', Porozo J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 2.

Tijuana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mazatlan has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mazatlan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tijuana is the undeniable favorite.

There are questionable in Tijuana: Boya F. (Injury) Mora G. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Mazatlan: Castro C. (Injury) Dudu (Injury) Fabio Gomes (Inactive) Zaleta M. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Club Tijuana	10	4	3	3	15:14	1	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX
13.02.26	Toluca - Tijuana	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Tijuana - Puebla	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Monterrey - Tijuana	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Tijuana - Atlético San Luis	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Querétaro - Tijuana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTTW
- Mazatlan FC
Mexican Liga MX
15.02.26	Santos Laguna - Mazatlan	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Mazatlan - Chivas Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Atlas - Mazatlan	1:0 ✺
16.01.26	Mazatlan - Monterrey	1:5 ✺
13.01.26	Puebla - Mazatlan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.12.25	Tijuana - Mazatlan	0:0
Mexican Liga MX
09.08.25	Mazatlan - Tijuana	2:2
16.04.25	Mazatlan - Tijuana	0:2
27.09.24	Tijuana - Mazatlan	1:0
29.03.24	Mazatlan - Tijuana	2:0
25.08.23	Tijuana - Mazatlan	1:1
14.04.23	Mazatlan - Tijuana	1:2

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