Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Caliente (Tijuana)

Referee: Ramos C. A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tijuana		UNAM

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.50	3.80	Watch
	2.05	3.40	3.40
	2.06	3.35	3.25	Watch
	2.13	3.59	3.68
	2.14	3.45	3.37	Watch
	2.01	3.55	3.75
	2.02	3.52	3.83	Watch
	2.05	3.45	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.22)	3.48 ↓ (3.52)	3.58 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tijuana
46.2%

Draw
27.3%

UNAM
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

26.5%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

25.5%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UNAM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Tijuana - UNAM Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 2 - 50%). UNAM will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Rodriguez A. (C) 3. Fernandez R. 12. Porozo J. 6. Gomez A. 16. Vega A. 8. Tona I. 11. Gonzalez F. 31. Padilla Y. 10. Mora G. 7. Preciado A. 9. El Ghezouani M.	1. Navas K. (C) 7. Lopez R. 2. Bennevendo P. 6. Nathan Silva 5. Duarte R. 21. Antuna U. 22. Medina A. 8. Carrasquilla A. 18. Arteaga V. 14. Herrera L. 31. Morales R.
Substitutes
19. Abreu D. 17. Arciga R. 4. Bilbao U. 34. Boya F. 202. Gonzalez J. 29. Hernandez J. (G) 18. Mejia A. 33. Ortiz Orozco P. N. 26. Perez A. 20. Zapata A.	34. Azuaje A. 12. Calderon C. 23. Juninho 35. Lara P. (G) 15. Luna I. 9. Martinez G. 13. Monroy P. 19. Rivas J. 20. Trigos S. 45. Vite P.
Coaches
Abreu S.	Solari E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Carrasquilla A. 🟨,
33', Tona I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Mora G. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Bennevendo P. 🟥,
67', Medina A. ↓, Vite P. ↑,
67', Carrasquilla A. ↓, Juninho ↑,
77', Vega A. ↓, Bilbao U. ↑,
77', Padilla Y. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
77', Gonzalez F. ↓, Arciga R. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Mora G. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Preciado A. ↓, Ortiz Orozco P. N. ↑,
84', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
84', Antuna U. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
84', Arteaga V. ↓, Luna I. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Recently, Tijuana has had a series of away games.

Tijuana will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in UNAM: Angulo A. (Knee Injury) Cordova S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in UNAM: Macias J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.4:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Club Tijuana	10	4	3	3	15:14	1	15
13	UNAM Pumas	10	3	3	4	14:16	-2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX
22.08.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana	5:2 ✺
16.08.26	Tijuana - Cruz Azul	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
13.08.26	Portland Timbers - Tijuana	3:1 ✺
06.08.26	Austin FC - Tijuana	2:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
31.07.26	Atlético San Luis - Tijuana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLT
- UNAM Pumas
Mexican Liga MX
23.08.26	UNAM - Necaxa	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	UNAM - Querétaro	0:0 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
11.08.26	Columbus Crew - UNAM	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	Cincinnati - UNAM	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Charlotte - UNAM	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
27.02.26	Tijuana - UNAM	1:1
02.11.25	UNAM - Tijuana	4:1
25.02.25	Tijuana - UNAM	4:2
22.09.24	UNAM - Tijuana	1:0
10.03.24	UNAM - Tijuana	3:3
30.06.23	Tijuana - UNAM	2:3
27.01.23	Tijuana - UNAM	0:0

Upcoming Matches