Match Info

Copa Chile - Round 3

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Zorros del Desierto (Calama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports


	Cobreloa		Cobresal

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.6
	1.93	3.25	3.30
	1.95	3.4	3.5
	1.95	3.59	3.72
	1.98	3.33	3.69	Watch
	2	3.3	3.4
	1.94	3.4	3.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.23)	3.4 ↑ (3.28)	3.52 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cobreloa
47%

Draw
27%

Cobresal
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.1%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.1%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobreloa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cobreloa's performance.

Cobresal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Cobreloa - Cobresal Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cobreloa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cobreloa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Tapia D. (G) 17. Tapia D. 15. Garcia D. 5. Gonzalez R. (C) 4. San Juan B. 8. Cornejo L. 14. Aranguiz T. 32. Velazco F. 22. Delgado A. 13. Quezada A. 11. Gotti G.	12. Santander A. (G) 23. Pacheco G. 20. Tiznado J. (C) 16. Bechtholdt F. 15. Castillo A. 13. Valenzuela B. 22. Astudillo A. 10. Carvallo U. B. A. 24. Ramirez B. 8. Pino S. 11. Brea J.
Substitutes
1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 31. Gallardo E. 3. Gonzalez Y. 20. Matamoros F. 34. Orellana C. 24. Porras R. 25. Roco V. 6. Tapia M. 35. Wastavino L.	32. Frias F. 17. Fuentes J. 1. Gonzalez Renato (G) 14. Huerta R. 31. Leyton D. 28. Moreno B. 18. Moreno C. 4. Sandoval R. 6. Valencia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Carvallo U. B. A. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
46', Valenzuela B. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
46', Ramirez B. ↓, Moreno B. ↑,
49', Bechtholdt F. 🟨,
55', Quezada A. ↓, Gallardo E. ↑,
55', Cornejo L. ↓, Matamoros F. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Gotti G. ⚽,
67', Pino S. ↓, Frias F. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Gallardo E. ⚽,
79', Tiznado J. 🟨,
80', Gallardo E. 🟨,
81', Delgado A. ↓, Porras R. ↑,
81', Velazco F. ↓, Orellana C. ↑,
89', Gotti G. 🟨,
90+1', Garcia D. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobreloa won 3.

Cobreloa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cobresal has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cobreloa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cobreloa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cobreloa won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:23. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cobreloa won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 2.1:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Cobresal - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 30.59%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cobreloa
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
06.06.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Cobreloa - Rangers de Talca	2:0 ✺
21.05.26	Deportes Recoleta - Cobreloa	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Cobreloa - Deportes Copiapó	4:1 ✺
09.05.26	Santiago Wanderers - Cobreloa	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTWL
- CD Cobresal
Chilean Primera Division
13.06.26	Colo-Colo - Cobresal	3:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
06.06.26	Universidad Católica - Cobresal	5:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
29.05.26	Cobresal - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Audax Italiano - Cobresal	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Cobresal - Universidad de Chile	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
04.08.24	Cobresal - Cobreloa	3:2
01.03.24	Cobreloa - Cobresal	2:1
Chilean Cup
23.08.23	Cobreloa - Cobresal	4:2
20.08.23	Cobresal - Cobreloa	1:3
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
01.12.18	Cobreloa - Cobresal	2:2
24.11.18	Cobresal - Cobreloa	2:1
21.10.18	Cobresal - Cobreloa	1:0

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