The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Puerto Montt 40.5%
Draw 27.5%
Cobreloa 32%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
28.5%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
28.2%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Puerto Montt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Puerto Montt's performance.
Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cobreloa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Puerto Montt that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cobreloa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportes Puerto Montt - Cobreloa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Collao G. (G) 2. Morales A. 4. Riveros M. 5. Calisto F. 6. Diaz D. 10. Vargas C. 23. Castillo G. 28. Perez S. 9. Vazquez L. 11. Castro R. 34. Gonzalez K.
1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 4. San Juan B. 5. Gonzalez R. 17. Tapia D. 7. Zuniga S. 8. Cornejo L. 14. Aranguiz T. 21. Muga C. 32. Velazco F. 22. Delgado A. 31. Gallardo E.
Substitutes
20. Bahamonde D. 31. Nanning C. 30. Negrete S. 17. Nieto B. 8. Paredes R. 35. Rojas L. A. 13. Ureta L. (G)
3. Gonzalez Y. 20. Matamoros F. 34. Orellana C. 24. Porras R. 13. Quezada A. 30. Tapia D. (G) 35. Wastavino L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Tapia D. 🟨,
37', Vazquez L. ↓, Paredes R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gallardo E. ↓, Quezada A. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Delgado A. ⚽,
53', Castro R. ↓, Negrete S. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Paredes R. ⚽,
67', Vargas C. 🟨,
73', Vargas C. ↓, Bahamonde D. ↑,
73', Perez S. ↓, Nanning C. ↑,
77', Velazco F. 🟨,
77', Paredes R. 🟨,
79', Cornejo L. 🟥,
82', Velazco F. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
86', Delgado A. ↓, Orellana C. ↑,
86', Zuniga S. ↓, Porras R. ↑,
88', Calisto F. 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Montt won 0.
Recent performances by Puerto Montt have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cobreloa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Cobreloa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Puerto Montt won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Montt won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Cobreloa
26
13
9
4
44:27
17
48
10
D. Puerto Montt
26
10
4
12
26:34
-8
34
Last Results with these Odds
Cobreloa - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.85%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Chile
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Collao G. (G) 
Morales A. 
Castro R. 
Muga C. 
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