Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 13

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal Leonel Sánchez Lineros (Recoleta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports


	Deportes Recoleta		Cobreloa

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.35	2.48
	2.55	3.45	2.54
	2.64	3.28	2.59	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.5	3.25	2.48
	2.7	3	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.7)	3.24 ↑ (3)	2.51 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportes Recoleta
35.5%

Draw
28.1%

Cobreloa
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

30%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

30.2%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	20%	50%

Deportes Recoleta - Cobreloa Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Recoleta will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Cobreloa will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cobreloa: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Salazar A. (G) 14. Lara I. 4. Tomarelli F. 16. Viveros B. 11. Viveros D. 17. Carvajal N. 6. Espinoza J. 7. Provoste B. 9. Estigarribia G. (C) 20. Gonzalez C. 19. Sanchez P.	1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 4. San Juan B. 5. Gonzalez R. (C) 17. Tapia D. 8. Cornejo L. 21. Muga C. 29. Gatica J. 32. Velazco F. 10. Insaurralde C. 11. Gotti G. 27. Sandoval M.
Substitutes
5. Alarcon F. 21. Alvarez G. 10. Arguinarena M. 15. Baez F. 18. Cepeda C. 8. Martin F. 22. Vargas J. (G)	14. Aranguiz T. 22. Delgado A. 3. Gonzalez Y. 19. Navarro Y. 34. Orellana C. 24. Porras R. 30. Tapia D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', Viveros D. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Estigarribia G. ⚽,
16', San Juan B. 🟨,
40', Sandoval M. ↓, Delgado A. ↑,
45+1', 1 - 1, Gotti G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Espinoza J. 🟨,
62', Delgado A. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Sanchez P. ⚽,
71', Provoste B. 🟨,
72', Gonzalez C. ↓, Arguinarena M. ↑,
73', Velazco F. ↓, Navarro Y. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Insaurralde C. ⚽,
87', Insaurralde C. ↓, Aranguiz T. ↑,
89', Provoste B. ↓, Martin F. ↑,
89', Carvajal N. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
90+3', Gatica J. 🟨,
90+5', Tomarelli F. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 0.

Recoleta is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Cobreloa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1:14. (average 0.2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Recoleta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cobreloa	26	13	9	4	44:27	17	48
6	Recoleta	26	11	8	7	38:34	4	41

Last Results with these Odds

Cobreloa - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.71%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Recoleta
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
16.05.26	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Recoleta	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Recoleta	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Antofagasta	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Deportes Recoleta - Curicó Unido	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLT
- Cobreloa
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
16.05.26	Cobreloa - Deportes Copiapó	4:1 ✺
09.05.26	Santiago Wanderers - Cobreloa	5:1 ✺
03.05.26	Cobreloa - Deportes Antofagasta	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Cobreloa - San Luis de Quillota	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	San Marcos de Arica - Cobreloa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
14.09.25	Cobreloa - Deportes Recoleta	4:0
17.05.25	Deportes Recoleta - Cobreloa	0:1
08.09.23	Deportes Recoleta - Cobreloa	1:2
11.05.23	Cobreloa - Deportes Recoleta	3:0
15.09.22	Deportes Recoleta - Cobreloa	0:1
23.04.22	Cobreloa - Deportes Recoleta	3:0

Upcoming Matches