The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santiago Wanderers 35.2%
Draw 27.9%
Cobreloa 36.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
26.6%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
26.2%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Santiago Wanderers - Cobreloa Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Santiago Wanderers will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cobreloa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. Martinez B. (G) 7. Herrera A. 18. Felipe S. 31. Valenzuela C. 16. Navarro P. 5. Navarro L. 15. Villarroel M. 23. Flores I. 14. Ponce C. 37. San Martin D. 9. Camarda M.
30. Tapia D. (G) 7. Zuniga S. 4. San Juan B. 5. Gonzalez R. (C) 24. Porras R. 8. Cornejo L. 21. Muga C. 32. Velazco F. 27. Sandoval M. 11. Gotti G. 10. Insaurralde C.
Substitutes
20. Avendano L. 17. Caceres C. 24. Dubo A. 12. Olivares R. (G) 8. Silva J. 32. Vargas V. 27. Vera V.
14. Aranguiz T. 1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 31. Gallardo E. 3. Gonzalez Y. 18. Mendez J. 19. Navarro Y. 13. Quezada A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Navarro L. (Penalty Awarded),
16', Zuniga S. 🟨,
17', Villarroel M. 🟨,
31', Felipe S. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Velazco F. ⚽,
44', Valenzuela C. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', 2 - 1, Camarda M. ⚽,
58', Navarro L. 🟨,
59', 3 - 1, Camarda M. ⚽,
61', Camarda M. 🟨,
62', Zuniga S. 🟥,
66', San Juan B. 🟨,
68', Velazco F. ↓, Aranguiz T. ↑,
68', Herrera A. 🟨,
73', Flores I. ↓, Avendano L. ↑,
75', 4 - 1, Camarda M. ⚽,
80', Herrera A. ↓, Caceres C. ↑,
80', San Martin D. ↓, Vargas V. ↑,
81', Muga C. 🟨,
86', Ponce C. ↓, Vera V. ↑,
86', Valenzuela C. ↓, Dubo A. ↑,
90+3', Sandoval M. ↓, Quezada A. ↑,
90+5', 5 - 1, Gotti G. (Own goal),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 2.
Now, both teams are in good form.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:34. (average 1.7:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Wanderers won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 2.3:1.4).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Cobreloa
26
13
9
4
44:27
17
48
3
S. Wanderers
26
12
8
6
41:28
13
44
Last Results with these Odds
Santiago Wanderers - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.98%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Cobreloa - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.43%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Martinez B. (G) 
Felipe S. 
Navarro L. 
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