Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 19

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador (El Salvador)

Referee: Salvo M. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cobresal		Deportes Concepción

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.40	2.95
	2.22	3.3	3.05	Watch
	2.33	3.5	3.1
	2.24	3.44	3.05	Watch
	2.25	3.45	3.05
	2.17	3.25	3.01	Watch
	2.17	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.67)	3.36 ↑ (3.33)	3.04 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cobresal
41.8%

Draw
27.6%

Deportes Concepción
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

27.8%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

27.9%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobresal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cobresal's performance.

Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Concepción might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cobresal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Concepción could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Cobresal - Deportes Concepción Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cobresal will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cobresal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Olguin M. (G) 43. Campos V. 20. Tiznado J. (C) 18. Moreno C. 15. Castillo A. 17. Fuentes J. 38. Villagran 11. Brea J. 7. Yanis C. 39. Morales J. 8. Pino S.	25. Araya N. (G) 4. Caceres A. 21. Rodriguez N. 37. Grillo F. 29. Varas D. 15. Montecinos J. 18. Rodriguez Y. 16. Sandoval M. (C) 30. Espinoza E. 27. Acosta D. 20. Henriquez J.
Substitutes
22. Astudillo A. 16. Bechtholdt F. 10. Carvallo U. B. A. 37. Espinoza M. 32. Frias F. 23. Pacheco G. 44. Sepulveda C. (G) 6. Valencia E. 13. Valenzuela B.	3. Carrasco D. 24. Cavalleri M. 22. Davila Carvajal M. 9. Escobar C. 19. Jara A. 8. Martinez F. 23. Riquelme C. 7. Romero F. 12. Veloso Espinoza N. (G)
Coaches
Huerta G.	Diaz F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Campos V. 🟨,
37', Grillo F. 🟨,
38', Varas D. ↓, Riquelme C. ↑,
39', Brea J. 🟨,
42', Riquelme C. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Rodriguez N. ⚽, Henriquez J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Acosta D. ↓, Escobar C. ↑,
57', Henriquez J. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
57', Montecinos J. ↓, Davila Carvajal M. ↑,
62', Morales J. ↓, Frias F. ↑,
62', Villagran ↓, Carvallo U. B. A. ↑,
62', Campos V. ↓, Valenzuela B. ↑,
70', Fuentes J. 🟨,
74', Fuentes J. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
78', Espinoza E. ↓, Jara A. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 2, Jara A. ⚽, Davila Carvajal M. (A),

Preview

Recent performances by Cobresal have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Deportes Concepción is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Cobresal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Deportes Concepción has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cobresal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	D. Concepcion	23	9	4	10	25:26	-1	31
14	Cobresal	24	7	4	13	35:45	-10	25

Last Results with these Odds

Cobresal - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.57%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cobresal
Chilean Primera Division
07.08.26	Universidad Católica - Cobresal	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Cobresal - Unión La Calera	4:0 ✺
25.07.26	Huachipato - Cobresal	3:3 ✺
Chilean Cup
12.07.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Cobresal	1:0 ✺
05.07.26	Cobresal - Cobreloa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTLT
- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Primera Division
09.08.26	Deportes Concepción - Universidad de Concepción	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Deportes Concepción - Universidad Católica	3:0 ✺
26.07.26	Deportes Concepción - OHiggins	2:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
12.07.26	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:0 ✺
06.07.26	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Temuco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
20.02.26	Deportes Concepción - Cobresal	1:1

Upcoming Matches