Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 20

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Portada (La Serena)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportes La Serena		Cobresal

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.20	5.25	Watch
	1.55	4.33	5.25
	1.60	3.90	4.60
	1.58	4.51	5.55
	1.67	4.05	4.6	Watch
	1.54	4.45	5.45
	1.60	4.33	5.41	Watch
	1.50	4.20	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.73)	4.25 ↑ (3.74)	5.14 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes La Serena
59.7%

Draw
22.1%

Cobresal
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

24.8%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

24.3%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes La Serena's performance.

Cobresal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Deportes La Serena - Cobresal Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Tapia J. (G) 21. Gutierrez B. 34. Rasso I. 33. Delgado R. 26. Dinamarca F. 8. Escalante G. 6. Diaz S. 23. Marin M. 14. Chamorro F. 10. Vargas J. (C) 9. Henriquez A.	36. Olguin M. (G) 43. Campos V. 20. Tiznado J. (C) 18. Moreno C. 15. Castillo A. 16. Bechtholdt F. 11. Brea J. 13. Valenzuela B. 38. Villagran 39. Morales J. 8. Pino S.
Substitutes
5. Alarcon L. 2. Figueroa G. 16. Gutierrez J. 28. Orellana J. 3. Perez M. 29. Pinto M. 11. Rubio D. 38. Saez I. (G) 17. Salazar Y.	22. Astudillo A. 10. Carvallo U. B. A. 37. Espinoza M. 32. Frias F. 23. Pacheco G. 44. Sepulveda C. (G) 6. Valencia E. 3. Villarroel B. 7. Yanis C.
Coaches
Gutierrez F.	Huerta G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Henriquez A. ⚽, Vargas J. (A),
20', Bechtholdt F. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Brea J. ⚽, Villagran (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', Chamorro F. 🟨,
53', Moreno C. 🟨,
57', Valenzuela B. 🟨,
59', Henriquez A. ↓, Rubio D. ↑,
60', Brea J. ↓, Yanis C. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Moreno C. (Own goal),
66', 3 - 1, Marin M. ⚽, Chamorro F. (A),
69', Dinamarca F. ↓, Salazar Y. ↑,
69', Escalante G. ↓, Figueroa G. ↑,
70', Valenzuela B. ↓, Frias F. ↑,
73', Gutierrez B. 🟨,
76', Campos V. ↓, Astudillo A. ↑,
76', Morales J. ↓, Carvallo U. B. A. ↑,
76', Pino S. ↓, Espinoza M. ↑,
80', 3 - 2, Frias F. ⚽,
90', 3 - 3, Delgado R. (Own goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 2.

In recent matches, Deportes La Serena has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cobresal is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cobresal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Deportes La Serena has had a series of away games.

In this match, Deportes La Serena is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:30. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	La Serena	23	7	9	7	34:38	-4	30
14	Cobresal	24	7	4	13	35:45	-10	25

Last Results with these Odds

Cobresal - the odds 4.31 are the expected chance of winning is 21.55%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division
14.08.26	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes La Serena	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes La Serena	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Deportes La Serena - OHiggins	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Universidad Católica - Deportes La Serena	3:3 ✺
Chilean Cup
12.07.26	Cobreloa - Deportes La Serena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTLTL
- CD Cobresal
Chilean Primera Division
16.08.26	Cobresal - Deportes Concepción	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	Universidad Católica - Cobresal	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Cobresal - Unión La Calera	4:0 ✺
25.07.26	Huachipato - Cobresal	3:3 ✺
Chilean Cup
12.07.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Cobresal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
01.07.26	Cobresal - Deportes La Serena	0:1
24.06.26	Deportes La Serena - Cobresal	0:0
Chilean Primera Division
27.02.26	Cobresal - Deportes La Serena	0:1
Club Friendly
24.01.26	Deportes La Serena - Cobresal	2:3
Chilean Primera Division
26.07.25	Deportes La Serena - Cobresal	0:2
Chilean Cup
11.05.25	Deportes La Serena - Cobresal	1:1
Chilean Primera Division
23.02.25	Cobresal - Deportes La Serena	3:1

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