Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 21

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador (El Salvador)

Referee: Philippe G. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Cobresal		Palestino

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.3	2.35	Watch
	2.55	3.50	2.55
	2.62	3.45	2.42	Watch
	2.68	3.75	2.5
	2.62	3.63	2.46	Watch
	2.65	3.7	2.45
	2.98	3.46	2.41	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (3.1)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	2.44 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cobresal
35.1%

Draw
26.6%

Palestino
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

26.7%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

26%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobresal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cobresal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palestino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Cobresal - Palestino Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cobresal will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Palestino will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Cobresal (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cobresal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Olguin M. (G) 43. Campos V. 20. Tiznado J. (C) 18. Moreno C. 15. Castillo A. 7. Yanis C. 17. Fuentes J. 38. Villagran 39. Morales J. 32. Frias F. 37. Espinoza M.	25. Perez Kirby S. A. (G) 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 3. Roco E. 7. Carrasco B. (C) 28. Zuniga D. 5. Glaby D. 27. Munder C. 18. Gallegos S. 14. Abrigo J. 30. Alegria I. 9. Fernandez R.
Substitutes
22. Astudillo A. 26. Belmar V. 14. Huerta R. 23. Pacheco G. 8. Pino S. 12. Santander A. (G) 6. Valencia E. 13. Valenzuela B. 3. Villarroel B.	21. Araya M. 12. Canto R. (G) 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 13. Gomez A. 15. Montes Romero F. T. 31. Ruz G. 24. Salgado D. 20. Tapia Paez G.
Coaches
Huerta G.	Farre G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Morales J. ⚽, Espinoza M. (A),
36', Glaby D. 🟨,
45', Morales J. 🟨,
45+4', Fuentes J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Espinoza M. ↓, Pino S. ↑,
46', Campos V. ↓, Astudillo A. ↑,
46', Alegria I. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
62', Frias F. ↓, Valenzuela B. ↑,
67', Morales J. 🟨,
79', Glaby D. ↓, Montes Romero F. T. ↑,
79', Espinoza Hevia V. A. ↓, Araya M. ↑,
81', Yanis C. ↓, Huerta R. ↑,
87', Carrasco B. ↓, Salgado D. ↑,
87', Abrigo J. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
87', Villagran ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
90+3', Tiznado J. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 0, Huerta R. ⚽, Pino S. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:34. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cobresal won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Palestino	23	11	3	9	36:33	3	36
14	Cobresal	24	7	4	13	35:45	-10	25

Last Results with these Odds

Cobresal - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.17%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Palestino - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 43.1%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cobresal
Chilean Primera Division
23.08.26	Deportes La Serena - Cobresal	3:3 ✺
16.08.26	Cobresal - Deportes Concepción	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	Universidad Católica - Cobresal	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Cobresal - Unión La Calera	4:0 ✺
25.07.26	Huachipato - Cobresal	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLLWT
- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Primera Division
23.08.26	OHiggins - Palestino	0:1 ✺
17.08.26	Palestino - Huachipato	5:1 ✺
09.08.26	Universidad de Chile - Palestino	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Palestino - Coquimbo Unido	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Ñublense - Palestino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
08.03.26	Palestino - Cobresal	4:2
07.09.25	Cobresal - Palestino	2:1
15.02.25	Palestino - Cobresal	2:1
25.08.24	Palestino - Cobresal	3:0
29.03.24	Cobresal - Palestino	0:2
01.10.23	Cobresal - Palestino	2:1
14.04.23	Palestino - Cobresal	1:5

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