Match Info

Date: 11 April 2021, Sunday


	Coimbra		Caldense

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.05
	3.4	3	2.1
	3.6	3.2	1.9
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3.68	2.93	2.26
	3.6	2.7	2.2
	3.44	3	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↓ (3.6)	3 ↓ (3.2)	2.12 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coimbra
26.4%

Draw
30.4%

Caldense
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

28%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

20.6%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Caldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coimbra than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coimbra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldense than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caldense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Coimbra - Caldense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Mineiro (5thto8th places)).

The competitors look crappy now.

Caldense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Coimbra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coimbra EC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
07.04.21	Coimbra - Cruzeiro	0:2 ✺
04.04.21	URT - Coimbra	1:0 ✺
01.04.21	Coimbra - Athletic Club	1:0 ✺
19.03.21	Atlético Mineiro - Coimbra	3:0 ✺
12.03.21	Boa Esporte - Coimbra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLL
- AA Caldense
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
07.04.21	Caldense - Uberlândia	1:2 ✺
04.04.21	Pouso Alegre - Caldense	3:1 ✺
01.04.21	Caldense - Atlético Mineiro	2:1 ✺
21.03.21	URT - Caldense	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.03.21	Caldense - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
08.03.20	Caldense - Coimbra	2:0

Coimbra - Caldense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide