Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 4

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Marco 09		Leça

	1	X	2
	2.65	3	2.4
	2.65	3.1	2.5
	2.59	3.13	2.63
	2.78	3.19	2.45
	2.65	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.4)	3.1 ↓ (3.2)	2.5 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Marco 09
34.2%

Draw
29.3%

Leça
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

28.1%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco 09 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Marco 09 - Leça Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Ze Domingos ⚽,
37', dos Santos Simao L. P. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Ze Diogo ⚽,
52', 2 - 1, de Oliveira da Silva P. H. ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, Marcelo Machado ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 2, Nuno Pereira ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Marco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home match between the teams, Marco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Marco 09
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
11.05.25	Marco 09 - Paredes	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Marco 09	3:2 ✺
27.04.25	Leça - Marco 09	1:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.04.25	União Lamas - Marco 09	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Marco 09 - Gondomar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLWW
- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
11.05.25	Leça - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Paredes - Leça	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Leça - Marco 09	1:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.04.25	Machico - Leça	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Leça - Guarda FC	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
27.04.25	Leça - Marco 09	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.02.25	Marco 09 - Leça	0:1
29.09.24	Leça - Marco 09	0:0
Taça de Portugal
08.09.24	Leça - Marco 09	2:3 penalties

Upcoming Matches