Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 20

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Marco 09		Camacha

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.65	5.2
	1.62	3.63	5.19
	1.67	3.73	4.66
	1.58	3.65	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.51)	3.67 ↑ (3.6)	5.06 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco 09
56.9%

Draw
25%

Camacha
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

25.3%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

24.5%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco 09 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Camacha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco 09, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camacha than the current prediction. (-4%)

Marco 09 - Camacha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Rosado D. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Rosado D. ⚽,
35', 3 - 0, de Oliveira da Silva P. H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 4 - 0, Joel ⚽,
80', 4 - 1, Nicolatti V. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Marco is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Camacha is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Marco is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Marco 09
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.02.25	Régua - Marco 09	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Marco 09 - Leça	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Beira-Mar - Marco 09	0:3 ✺
26.01.25	Marco 09 - Machico	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Guarda FC - Marco 09	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWL
- AD Camacha
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.02.25	Alpendorada - Camacha	3:1 ✺
09.02.25	Camacha - Régua	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Leça - Camacha	4:1 ✺
26.01.25	Camacha - Beira-Mar	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Machico - Camacha	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.10.24	Camacha - Marco 09	1:1

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