Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 32

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López (Santa Fe)

Referee: Balino J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play


	Colón		Brown de Adrogué

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.75	9	Watch
	1.44	3.75	7.5
	1.45	4	7.5	Watch
	1.44	3.92	9.09
	1.49	3.69	8.11	Watch
	1.4	3.9	8.5
	1.47	3.68	7.9	Watch
	1.45	4	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)	3.84 ↓ (4.1)	8.14 ↓ (8.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón
64.3%

Draw
24.3%

Brown de Adrogué
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

22.4%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

18.4%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Colón - Brown de Adrogué Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Colón will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vicentini M. (G) 4. Herrera E. 2. Goltz P. (C) 6. Fernandez N. 3. Castet F. 10. Bernardi C. 5. Forneris A. 7. Talpone N. 8. Guille B. 11. Rossi G. 9. Toledo J.	1. Wysocki M. (G) 4. Sangiovani R. 2. Masuero A. (C) 6. Aguirre C. 3. Nouet F. 8. Lovazzano L. 5. Pereyra N. 7. Benitez F. 10. Sproat M. 9. Lopez B. 11. Castillo L.
Substitutes
14. Antonini J. 19. Farioli B. 12. Gimenez T. (G) 18. Jourdan F. 13. Juncos B. 16. Lopes H. 17. Rodriguez A. 20. Sonora J. 15. Taborda F.	20. Buter L. 15. Desio G. 14. Gamarra G. 13. Heredia M. 18. Palomeque A. 16. Patrizio T. 12. Rehak G. (G) 17. Sives T. 19. Tellas G.
Coaches
de Paoli R.	Vivaldo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Lopez B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fernandez N. ↓, Lopes H. ↑,
46', Forneris A. ↓, Juncos B. ↑,
52', Masuero A. 🟨,
57', Castillo L. ↓, Heredia M. ↑,
57', Lovazzano L. ↓, Desio G. ↑,
63', Bernardi C. ↓, Sonora J. ↑,
64', Nouet F. ↓, Gamarra G. ↑,
67', Wysocki M. ↓, Rehak G. ↑,
67', Sproat M. ↓, Patrizio T. ↑,
69', Rossi G. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
80', Castet F. ↓, Taborda F. ↑,
84', Rehak G. 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 2, Gamarra G. ⚽,
90+6', Herrera E. 🟥,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Brown de Adrogué could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Colón is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Colón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.09.24	Temperley - Colón	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Colón - Deportivo Morón	1:0 ✺
26.08.24	Nueva Chicago - Colón	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Colón - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
12.08.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Colón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWL
- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.09.24	Brown de Adrogué - Almirante Brown	2:2 ✺
02.09.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Brown de Adrogué - Defensores Unidos	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Deportivo Madryn - Brown de Adrogué	2:1 ✺
11.08.24	Brown de Adrogué - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.04.24	Brown de Adrogué - Colón	0:4

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