The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brown de Adrogué 38.3%
Draw 39.1%
Defensores Unidos 22.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.1%
31.6%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.4%
29.7%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brown de Adrogué, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Brown de Adrogué - Defensores Unidos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Giovini S. (G) 6. Aguirre C. 7. Baldunciel L. 4. Bogado J. 8. Castano A. 3. Guerrero B. 11. Lopez B. 9. Meaurio N. 10. Noble M. 5. Robles E. 2. Sanchez L. (C)
1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Alarcon M. N. 5. Baigorria A. 10. Gimenez M. 2. Lopez J. 11. Olivera L. 3. Rapetti M. 8. Redondo K. 9. Salvo D. 7. Sombra A. 6. Suarez F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Meaurio N. ↓, Galeano V. ↑,
46', Baldunciel L. ↓, Sproat M. ↑,
50', Robles E. 🟨,
51', 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Redondo K. ⚽,
60', Baigorria A. 🟨,
63', Castano A. ↓, Luraschi G. ↑,
64', Sombra A. ↓, Girard T. ↑,
65', Herrera S. ↓, Carboni B. ↑,
65', Tello H. ↓, Ferreyra T. ↑,
72', Gimenez M. 🟨,
72', Olivera L. ↓, Rapetti M. ↑,
77', Noble M. ↓, Ferrario F. ↑,
86', 🟨,
90+1', Carboni B. ↓, Lorenzo A. ↑,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 19th and 20th).
Brown de Adrogué has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Defensores Unidos has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Brown de Adrogué may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Brown de Adrogué is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Brown de Adrogué has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Brown de Adrogué against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
18
Defensores Unidos
41
10
15
16
34:40
-6
45
20
Brown Adrogue
41
9
16
16
25:38
-13
43
Last Results with these Odds
Defensores Unidos - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 26.37%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Giovini S. (G) 
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