Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 29

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)

Referee: Loustau J. P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Brown de Adrogué		Defensores Unidos

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.75	3.6
	2.35	2.85	3.2
	2.35	2.85	3.25
	2.46	2.9	3.45
	2.43	2.8	3.38	Watch
	2.3	2.88	3.25
	2.38	2.88	3.23
	2.35	2.85	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.9)	2.85 ↓ (3)	3.33 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
39.3%

Draw
32.7%

Defensores Unidos
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

30.7%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

29.8%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brown de Adrogué's performance.

Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores Unidos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brown de Adrogué that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores Unidos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Brown de Adrogué - Defensores Unidos Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wysocki M. (G) 4. Aguirre C. 2. Masuero A. 6. Arrechea N. 3. Nouet F. 8. Patrizio T. 5. Pereyra N. 10. Sproat M. 7. Castillo L. 9. Tellas G. 11. Nouet M.	1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Arebalo F. 2. Morales A. 6. Zadel D. 3. Olivera L. 8. Peralta M. 5. Nizzo M. 7. Cavagnero N. 11. Sombra A. 10. Gimenez M. 9. Juarez R.
Substitutes
19. Benitez F. 18. Buter L. 16. Desio G. 14. Gamarra G. 20. Lopez B. 12. Rehak G. (G) 13. Romero Ramirez P. E. 15. Sangiovani R. 17. Sives T.	12. Aquino M. (G) 13. Contreras M. 17. Guerra Brian 19. Lonardi F. 15. Mariatti M. 18. Ortigoza M. 14. Rapetti M. 16. Sivetti F. 20. Toniolo V.
Coaches
Vivaldo J.	Lema D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Gimenez M. ⚽,
32', Olivera L. ↓, Rapetti M. ↑,
45+2', Arrechea N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Patrizio T. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
46', Arrechea N. ↓, Sangiovani R. ↑,
46', Masuero A. 🟨,
51', Rapetti M. ↓, Mariatti M. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Castillo L. ⚽,
60', Nouet M. ↓, Buter L. ↑,
75', Aguirre C. 🟨,
75', Tellas G. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
77', Sombra A. ↓, Ortigoza M. ↑,
77', Cavagnero N. ↓, Sivetti F. ↑,
77', Peralta M. ↓, Guerra Brian ↑,
79', Henricot F. 🟨,
82', Nizzo M. 🟨,
84', 2 - 1, Lopez B. ⚽,
88', Castillo L. ↓, Sives T. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B (Apertura: ) and 15).

The competitors look crappy now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.08.24	Deportivo Madryn - Brown de Adrogué	2:1 ✺
11.08.24	Brown de Adrogué - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
04.08.24	San Telmo - Brown de Adrogué	3:0 ✺
27.07.24	Brown de Adrogué - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
20.07.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Brown de Adrogué	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLTL
- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.08.24	Defensores Unidos - Temperley	3:1 ✺
10.08.24	Deportivo Morón - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Defensores Unidos - Nueva Chicago	1:2 ✺
28.07.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Defensores Unidos	2:0 ✺
21.07.24	Defensores Unidos - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.04.24	Defensores Unidos - Brown de Adrogué	1:1

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