Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 28

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López (Santa Fe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Colón		Chacarita Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.9	3.25	Watch
	2.5	2.85	2.85
	2.4	2.88	3.05	Watch
	2.37	3.01	3.38
	1.38	4.29	8.87	Watch
	2.62	2.7	3
	2.46	2.88	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.39)	3.07 ↑ (2.85)	3.92 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón
42.9%

Draw
32%

Chacarita Juniors
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

32.5%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

32.4%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Chacarita Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Colón - Chacarita Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Colón will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Chacarita will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gimenez T. (G) 4. Bettini G. 2. Ortiz G. 6. Soto G. 3. Castet F. 8. Jourdan F. 5. Garrido O. 11. Lago I. 7. Talpone N. 9. Castro F. 10. Barreto J.	1. Avellaneda N. (G) 4. Fernandez T. 2. Errecalde G. 6. Migliore T. 3. Quiroga A. 8. Napolitano A. 5. Ortiz T. 10. Figueroa V. 7. Ciccolini L. 9. Apa S. 11. Jaime M.
Substitutes
17. Gigliotti E. 13. Ibarra C. 16. Laborie L. 20. Negro B. 12. Paredes T. (G) 18. Rodriguez L. 14. Sanchez F. 15. Sonora J. 19. Taborda F.	14. Acosta S. 13. Andueza F. 19. Araujo A. 16. Blanco R. 18. Bravo F. 15. Chaves N. 17. Melendez M. 20. Rivero H. 12. Strumia J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Ortiz T. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Lago I. ⚽,
29', Migliore T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Migliore T. ↓, Chaves N. ↑,
46', Jaime M. ↓, Bravo F. ↑,
46', Napolitano A. ↓, Rivero H. ↑,
53', Barreto J. 🟨,
53', Errecalde G. 🟨,
61', Ciccolini L. ↓, Melendez M. ↑,
64', Lago I. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
66', Bravo F. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, Figueroa V. ⚽,
71', Jourdan F. 🟨,
75', Errecalde G. 🟨,
79', Barreto J. ↓, Gigliotti E. ↑,
79', Apa S. ↓, Andueza F. ↑,
84', Talpone N. 🟨,
85', Garrido O. ↓, Taborda F. ↑,
90+1', Bettini G. 🟨,
90+2', Ortiz T. 🟨,
90+4', Gigliotti E. 🟨,

Preview

Colón is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chacarita has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Colón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.08.25	San Telmo - Colón	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Colón - Agropecuario Argentino	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Colón	4:0 ✺
27.07.25	Colón - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Central Norte - Colón	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLW
- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.08.25	Chacarita Juniors - Temperley	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Defensores Unidos - Chacarita Juniors	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Chacarita Juniors - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:3 ✺
26.07.25	Deportivo Morón - Chacarita Juniors	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Chacarita Juniors - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.04.25	Chacarita Juniors - Colón	3:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.04.18	Chacarita Juniors - Colón	0:2

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