Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 26

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox (Zarate)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Defensores Unidos		Chacarita Juniors

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	2.2	Watch
	3.5	2.95	2.1
	3.45	2.92	2.15	Watch
	3.71	2.92	2.27
	3.88	2.53	2.40	Watch
	3.4	2.8	2.25
	3.5	2.94	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (3.77)	2.87 ↓ (3.03)	2.22 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores Unidos
25.9%

Draw
32.4%

Chacarita Juniors
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

30.7%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

30.5%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Chacarita Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Defensores Unidos - Chacarita Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aquino M. (G) 4. Arguello J. 2. Marchesini F. 6. Rassol F. 3. Olivera L. 5. Sanchez S. 7. Rocca J. 8. Ortiz B. 11. Trinidad E. 9. Toledo A. 10. Gimenez M. (C)	1. Avellaneda N. (G) 4. Fernandez T. 2. Errecalde G. 6. Migliore T. 3. Quiroga A. 5. Ortiz T. 8. Napolitano A. 7. Ciccolini L. 10. Figueroa V. (C) 11. Jaime M. 9. Rivero H.
Substitutes
14. Basualdo N. 15. Caballo M. 18. Ceratto L. 19. Ferreyra T. 16. Ferulano M. 12. Gonzalez E. (G) 13. Laumann F. 17. Patroni S. 20. Sanchez C.	14. Acosta S. 13. Andueza F. 17. Barrios M. 16. Blanco R. 15. Chaves N. 19. Chocobar V. 20. Costa R. 18. Rodriguez Matias 12. Strumia J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Ortiz T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Fernandez T. 🟨,
60', Rocca J. ↓, Patroni S. ↑,
64', Patroni S. 🟨,
67', Figueroa V. ↓, Chocobar V. ↑,
67', Napolitano A. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
68', Gimenez M. ↓, Ceratto L. ↑,
68', Toledo A. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
77', Sanchez S. ↓, Ferreyra T. ↑,
77', Olivera L. ↓, Caballo M. ↑,
82', Costa R. 🟨,
84', Ciccolini L. ↓, Rodriguez Matias ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Chacarita could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Defensores Unidos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.08.25	San Telmo - Defensores Unidos	2:2 ✺
27.07.25	Defensores Unidos - Agropecuario Argentino	3:2 ✺
20.07.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Defensores Unidos - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:1 ✺
06.07.25	Central Norte - Defensores Unidos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TWTLL
- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.08.25	Chacarita Juniors - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:3 ✺
26.07.25	Deportivo Morón - Chacarita Juniors	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Chacarita Juniors - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	2:1 ✺
13.07.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Chacarita Juniors	1:1 ✺
06.07.25	Chacarita Juniors - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.04.25	Chacarita Juniors - Defensores Unidos	2:0

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