The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colón 28%
Draw 29.9%
Estudiantes La Plata 42.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28%
30.6%
41.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
29.5%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Colón have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.8%
31.6%
52.6%
Colón - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Colón will win (votes: 6 - 15.8%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 20 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 31.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 36.7% – 68.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Chicco I. (G) 33. Garces F. 36. Nardelli G. 40. Delgado R. (C) 21. Meza E. 14. Perlaza B. 29. Picco L. 22. Alvarez J. 4. Schott A. 30. Pierotti S. 9. Abila R.
21. Andujar M. (G) 4. Nunez S. 29. Godoy L. 26. Lollo L. 2. Romero Z. 13. Benedetti G. 8. Zuqui F. 30. Rodriguez J. 7. Sosa J. 10. Rollheiser B. 17. Boselli M.
Substitutes
26. Arrua C. 92. Benitez J. 27. Chicco J. 55. Enrico J. C. (G) 10. Farias F. 19. Galvan T. 7. Neris P. 8. Silva G. 28. Teuten A. 16. Troncoso L. 5. Vega C.
9. Carrillo G. 20. Godoy M. 18. Guasone J. 14. Mancuso E. 3. Mas E. 16. Mendez M. 6. Munoz E. 22. Palavecino N. 19. Pellegrino M. 12. Sappa D. (G) 11. Veron D. 15. Zapiola F.
Coaches
Gorosito N.
Dominguez E.
Preview
Colón has the most likely position - 23 (7.21%), project points - 30, currently - 20, a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Estudiantes has the most likely position - 3 (25.17%), project points - 47, currently - 35, a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality42, very small importance3, small match rating22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Colón won 4.
Recent matches Colón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Estudiantes is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Colón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Estudiantes will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Colón: Acevedo L.
(Injury)
Goltz P.
(Injury)
Ibanez J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Estudiantes: Atum A.
(Injury)
Palavecino N.
(Injury)
Piatti P.
(Injury)
Pineiro G.
(Injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Colón won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Colón won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-11.