Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 7 June 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata)

Referee: Ortega K. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4
Portugal	Sport TV6


	Estudiantes La Plata		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.75	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.6
	2.04	3.05	4
	2.07	3.24	3.95
	2	3	3.7
	2.12	3	3.92	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.07)	3.14 ↓ (3.23)	3.78 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
45.4%

Draw
29.8%

Red Bull Bragantino
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28.8%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

28.4%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	70%	0%

Estudiantes La Plata - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Andujar M. (G) 4. Nunez S. 26. Lollo L. 2. Romero Z. 29. Godoy L. 30. Rodriguez J. 5. Ascacibar S. 13. Benedetti G. 10. Rollheiser B. 17. Boselli M. (C) 7. Sosa J.	1. Cleiton (C) 16. Mosquera H. 2. Realpe L. 26. Eduardo Santos 29. Juninho Capixaba 8. Lucas Evangelista 35. Matheus Fernandes 7. Eric Ramires 18. Borbas T. 19. Eduardo Sasha 28. Vitinho
Substitutes
9. Carrillo G. 20. Godoy M. 18. Guasone J. 14. Mancuso E. 3. Mas E. 16. Mendez M. 6. Munoz E. 19. Pellegrino M. 12. Sappa D. (G) 11. Veron D. 15. Zapiola F. 8. Zuqui F.	13. Aderlan 9. Alerrandro 31. Guilherme Lopes 22. Gustavinho 34. Hurtado J. 5. Jadsom Silva 30. Luan Patrick 40. Lucao (G) 48. Nathan Camargo 45. Popo 25. Praxedes 27. Sorriso
Coaches
Dominguez E.	Caixinha P.

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Estudiantes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Estudiantes will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Estudiantes won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Estudiantes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.06.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central	5:2 ✺
29.05.23	Instituto Córdoba - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.05.23	Tacuary - Estudiantes La Plata	0:4 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.05.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Banfield	1:0 ✺
14.05.23	Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWWT
- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
04.06.23	Fluminense - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
28.05.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Santos	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.05.23	Oriente Petrolero - Red Bull Bragantino	0:4 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
20.05.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Athletico Paranaense	2:0 ✺
13.05.23	Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
02.05.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0
Copa Libertadores
17.05.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1
26.04.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0

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