The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colchester United 28.1%
Draw 29.4%
Bristol Rovers 42.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.8%
27%
35.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
27.5%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colchester United's form might have worsened.
Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bristol Rovers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Colchester United - Bristol Rovers Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Colchester (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Smith T. (G) 30. Vincent-Young K. 5. Tucker J. 24. Araujo H. 26. Powell J. 8. Bishop T. 16. Read A. 7. Anderson H. 10. Payne J. 14. Lisbie K. 33. Mbick M.
1. Southwood L. (G) 23. Southam-Hales M. 35. Lopata K. 5. Kilgour A. 3. Sparkes J. 22. Conteh K. 20. McEachran J. 24. Chang A. 11. Thomas L. 29. Cavegn F. 9. Omochere P.
Substitutes
46. Chamberlain H. (G) 15. Gape D. 11. Gordon J. 47. Harvey R. 2. Hunt R. 9. Tovide S. 17. Williams J.
27. Bilongo B. 14. Cotterill J. 43. Dewsbury O. 19. Harrison E. 30. Issaka F. 4. Moore T. 2. Senior J.
Coaches
Cowley D.
Clarke D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Smith T. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Cavegn F. ⚽, Chang A. (A),
43', Thomas L. 🟨,
43', Omochere P. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
45+3', Harrison E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, Mbick M. ⚽, Payne J. (A),
55', Chang A. ↓, Cotterill J. ↑,
55', Cavegn F. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
59', Cotterill J. 🟨,
78', Mbick M. ↓, Tovide S. ↑,
78', Bishop T. ↓, Harvey R. ↑,
78', Anderson H. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
79', Read A. 🟨,
79', Lopata K. 🟨,
80', Thomas L. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
83', McEachran J. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 9).
In recent matches, Colchester has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Bristol Rovers is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Colchester: Edwards O.
(Red Card)
Flanagan T.
(Injury)
Goodwin W.
(Thigh Injury)
Iandolo E.
(Knee Injury)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S.
(Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Colchester United - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.82%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Smith T. (G) 
Vincent-Young K. 
Southwood L. (G) 
Southam-Hales M. 
Lopata K. 
Conteh K. 
Cavegn F. 
Omochere P. 
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