Match Info

League Two - Round 7

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Rodney Parade (Newport)

Referee: Toner B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Newport County		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.8	1.86	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.95
	3.55	3.7	1.92	Watch
	3.58	3.84	2.02
	3.23	3.62	2.04	Watch
	3.5	3.6	1.91
	3.55	3.65	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (3.7)	3.67 ↓ (3.73)	1.95 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport County
26.8%

Draw
25.4%

Bristol Rovers
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

25.2%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

24.9%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	16.7%	58.3%

Newport County - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tzanev N. (G) 22. Ogunneye H. 4. Baker M. 5. Clarke J. (C) 15. Jenkins L. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 2. Evans C. 6. Brennan C. 44. Braybrooke S. 7. Kamwa B. 23. Reindorf M.	13. Young B. (G) 3. Sparkes J. 5. Kilgour A. (C) 35. Lopata K. 23. Southam-Hales M. 24. Chang A. 20. McEachran J. 22. Conteh K. 9. Omochere P. 29. Cavegn F. 11. Thomas L.
Substitutes
11. Antwi C. 19. Garner G. 24. Opoku N. 21. Spellman M. 12. Thomas J. 14. Whitmore K. 28. Wright J. (G)	27. Bilongo B. 19. Harrison E. 30. Issaka F. 6. Mola C. 4. Moore T. 2. Senior J. 10. Sotiriou R.
Coaches
Hughes D.	Clarke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Southam-Hales M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
52', 0 - 1, Thomas L. ⚽,
56', Baker M. 🟨,
59', 0 - 2, Thomas L. ⚽,
64', Baker M. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
64', Evans C. ↓, Whitmore K. ↑,
67', Cavegn F. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
68', McEachran J. 🟨,
71', Reindorf M. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
72', 0 - 3, Harrison E. ⚽, Chang A. (A),
77', Thomas L. ↓, Sotiriou R. ↑,
78', 1 - 3, Whitmore K. ⚽, Opoku N. (A),
82', Southam-Hales M. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
82', Chang A. ↓, Mola C. ↑,
86', Braybrooke S. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
86', Brennan C. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
89', 2 - 3, Opoku N. ⚽,
90+5', Omochere P. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 3.

Newport is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bristol Rovers is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bristol Rovers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bristol Rovers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Bristol Rovers will win today's game, with odds of 1.89.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Newport won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport County
English League Two
30.08.25	Cambridge United - Newport County	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Newport County - Salford City	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Grimsby Town - Newport County	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Newport County - Millwall	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Bristol Rovers
English League Two
30.08.25	Grimsby Town - Bristol Rovers	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
26.08.25	Bristol Rovers - Tottenham Hotspur U21	5:4 penalties ✺
English League Two
23.08.25	Bristol Rovers - Cambridge United	1:0 ✺
19.08.25	Bristol Rovers - Oldham Athletic	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Chesterfield - Bristol Rovers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
14.11.23	Newport County - Bristol Rovers	0:1
English League Two
05.03.22	Newport County - Bristol Rovers	1:0
23.10.21	Bristol Rovers - Newport County	1:3
19.03.16	Newport County - Bristol Rovers	1:4
24.10.15	Bristol Rovers - Newport County	1:4
25.01.14	Bristol Rovers - Newport County	3:1
17.08.13	Newport County - Bristol Rovers	1:0

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