Match Info

League Two - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Colchester Community Stadium (JobServe) (Colchester)

Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)


	Colchester United		Crewe Alexandra

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.50	3.20	Watch
	2.20	3.60	2.95
	2.12	3.35	3.05	Watch
	2.20	3.65	3.29
	2.1	3.68	3.1	Watch
	2.17	3.45	3.25
	2.11	3.52	3.22	Watch
	2.08	3.55	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.19)	3.54 ↑ (3.38)	3.15 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colchester United
43.9%

Draw
26.4%

Crewe Alexandra
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.5%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

26.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Colchester United - Crewe Alexandra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 2. Hunt R. 5. Tucker J. (C) 20. Raggett S. 3. Iandolo E. 12. Sesay M. 26. Williams J. 27. Thorn O. 10. Payne J. 7. Anderson H. 14. Kouassi K.	1. Booth T. (G) 20. Agius C. 6. Offord L. 12. Stephenson J. 2. Billington L. (C) 17. Holicek M. 10. White J. 11. Tabiner J. 7. Lankester J. 14. Gibson J. 9. March J.
Substitutes
6. Digby P. 9. Ihionvien B. 44. Kuffour S. 1. Smith T. (G) 24. Terry F. 30. Vincent-Young K. 17. Williams J.	30. Dancey S. 13. Lawlor I. (G) 23. McNeill C. 27. Mlynarski P. 32. Moore L. 29. Thibaut A. 4. Ure K.
Coaches
Cowley D.	Bell L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Anderson H. ⚽, Thorn O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Agius C. 🟨,
54', Gibson J. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
69', Agius C. ↓, McNeill C. ↑,
69', Williams J. ↓, Digby P. ↑,
72', Kouassi K. ↓, Ihionvien B. ↑,
73', Thorn O. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
75', Tabiner J. ↓, Ure K. ↑,
87', Sesay M. ↓, Terry F. ↑,
87', Payne J. ↓, Vincent-Young K. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Stephenson J. ⚽, Billington L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Colchester could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Colchester: Perry B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Crewe: Lunt O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Colchester: Bishop T. (Inactive) Leake J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Crewe: Thomas C. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 2.6:1).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Crewe: 3.91% Colchester: 1.62%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Crewe	10	4	6	0	12:7	5	18
19	Colchester	9	2	4	3	10:13	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Colchester United - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.39%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colchester United
English League Two
05.09.26	Swindon Town - Colchester United	3:1 ✺
01.09.26	Bristol Rovers - Colchester United	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Colchester United - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Colchester United - Oldham Athletic	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Accrington Stanley - Colchester United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWWT
- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
05.09.26	Crewe Alexandra - York City	1:1 ✺
01.09.26	Crewe Alexandra - Walsall	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Port Vale - Crewe Alexandra	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Barnsley - Crewe Alexandra	3:2 ✺
English League Two
22.08.26	Crewe Alexandra - Northampton Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
31.01.26	Crewe Alexandra - Colchester United	1:0
06.09.25	Colchester United - Crewe Alexandra	1:1
18.04.25	Colchester United - Crewe Alexandra	0:0
20.12.24	Crewe Alexandra - Colchester United	0:0
27.04.24	Colchester United - Crewe Alexandra	1:1
23.09.23	Crewe Alexandra - Colchester United	2:1
10.04.23	Colchester United - Crewe Alexandra	4:0

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