Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 31

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Colchester Community Stadium (Colchester)

Referee: Hair N. (Eng)


	Colchester United		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.7
	2.5	3.5	2.55
	2.55	3.5	2.6
	2.5	3.6	2.56
	2.6	3.58	2.71
	2.45	3.6	2.5
	2.52	3.52	2.57	Watch
	2.4	3.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.13)	3.52 ↓ (3.52)	2.6 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colchester United
37.3%

Draw
26.6%

Forest Green Rovers
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

26.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colchester United's form might have worsened.

Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Forest Green Rovers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Forest Green Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	44.4%	33.3%

Colchester United - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Forest Green will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goodman O. (G) 26. Richardson J. 22. Harbottle R. 5. Hall C. (C) 3. Iandolo E. 17. Anderson H. 27. Smith A. 10. Chilvers N. 16. Read A. 42. Fevrier J. 14. Hopper T.	1. Daniels L. (G) 27. Bunker H. 5. Inniss R. 15. Moore-Taylor J. (C) 25. Dabo F. 46. Osadebe E. 7. McAllister K. 8. McCann C. 16. Thompson D. 9. Stevens M. 10. Doidge C.
Substitutes
24. Akinde J. 11. Edwards O. 29. Hornby S. (G) 48. Ihionvein B. 7. Jay M. 20. Mingi J. J. 8. Wilkinson C.	3. Bernard D. 29. Brown R. 28. Jones C. 23. Omotoye T. 22. Oyedele M. 17. Robson J. 31. Simkin T. (G)
Coaches
Cowley D.	Cotterill S.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1.

Recent matches Colchester is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Forest Green is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Forest Green could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Colchester will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Colchester won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colchester United
English League Two
27.01.24	Morecambe - Colchester United	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Colchester United - Bradford City	1:1 ✺
06.01.24	Swindon Town - Colchester United	2:2 ✺
01.01.24	Colchester United - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
29.12.23	AFC Wimbledon - Colchester United	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTTLL
- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
27.01.24	Forest Green Rovers - Accrington Stanley	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Gillingham - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
13.01.24	Forest Green Rovers - Harrogate Town	0:2 ✺
06.01.24	Salford City - Forest Green Rovers	2:2 ✺
01.01.24	Forest Green Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
14.10.23	Forest Green Rovers - Colchester United	5:0
21.03.22	Colchester United - Forest Green Rovers	0:1
11.01.22	Forest Green Rovers - Colchester United	2:0
27.02.21	Forest Green Rovers - Colchester United	3:0
20.10.20	Colchester United - Forest Green Rovers	1:0
14.09.19	Forest Green Rovers - Colchester United	1:0
12.03.19	Colchester United - Forest Green Rovers	0:3

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