Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 30

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)

Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)


	Forest Green Rovers		Accrington Stanley

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.8
	2.45	3.5	2.65
	2.45	3.5	2.75
	2.43	3.6	2.66
	2.54	3.66	2.73
	2.4	3.5	2.62
	2.43	3.54	2.67	Watch
	2.3	3.45	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.39)	3.53 ↑ (3.42)	2.7 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
38.6%

Draw
26.6%

Accrington Stanley
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

27.5%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

27.6%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	10%	50%

Forest Green Rovers - Accrington Stanley Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Accrington will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Daniels L. (G) 3. Bernard D. 5. Inniss R. 15. Moore-Taylor J. (C) 17. Robson J. 28. Jones C. 8. McCann C. 46. Osadebe E. 25. Dabo F. 9. Stevens M. 16. Thompson J.	21. Vitek R. (G) 38. O'Brien C. 5. Hills B. 16. Gubbins J. 2. Shipley L. 8. Woods B. 22. Martin D. 17. Nolan J. 30. Henderson A. 10. Pritchard J. (C) 39. Woods J.
Substitutes
29. Brown R. 27. Bunker H. 4. Johnson D. 23. Omotoye T. 22. Oyedele M. 31. Simkin T. (G) 10. Taylor M.	26. Adekoya L. 28. Conneely S. 61. McIntyre J. (G) 4. Mellor K. 12. Quirk S. 3. Rich-Baghuelou J. 27. Trickett L.
Coaches
Connor D.	Coleman J.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 12).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Accrington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Forest Green won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
20.01.24	Gillingham - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
13.01.24	Forest Green Rovers - Harrogate Town	0:2 ✺
06.01.24	Salford City - Forest Green Rovers	2:2 ✺
01.01.24	Forest Green Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	1:1 ✺
29.12.23	Swindon Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLTTL
- Accrington Stanley
English League Two
13.01.24	Accrington Stanley - Gillingham	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.01.24	Accrington Stanley - Bolton Wanderers	1:3 ✺
English League Two
01.01.24	Accrington Stanley - Salford City	3:0 ✺
29.12.23	Barrow - Accrington Stanley	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
07.10.23	Accrington Stanley - Forest Green Rovers	2:1
English League One
04.03.23	Accrington Stanley - Forest Green Rovers	2:1
06.09.22	Forest Green Rovers - Accrington Stanley	2:1
English League Two
17.03.18	Accrington Stanley - Forest Green Rovers	2:1
30.09.17	Forest Green Rovers - Accrington Stanley	0:1

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