Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 26

Date: 1 January 2024, Monday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)

Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)


	Forest Green Rovers		AFC Wimbledon

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.91
	3.9	3.6	1.87
	4	3.6	1.87	Watch
	4.26	3.64	1.91
	4.27	3.64	1.9
	3.75	3.6	1.83
	3.97	3.68	1.87	Watch
	3.75	3.55	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (3.13)	3.61 ↑ (3.55)	1.88 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
23.7%

Draw
26.1%

AFC Wimbledon
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

26.3%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

25.6%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Forest Green Rovers's form might have worsened.

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Wimbledon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forest Green Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	6.2%	81.2%

Forest Green Rovers - AFC Wimbledon Predictions

Users Predictions: AFC Wimbledon will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Daniels L. (G) 3. Bernard D. 5. Inniss R. 15. Moore-Taylor J. (C) 17. Robson J. 8. McCann C. 27. Bunker H. 28. Jones C. 7. McAllister K. 9. Stevens M. 39. Morton C.	12. Bass A. (G) 2. Biler H. 31. Lewis J. 6. Johnson R. 26. Currie J. 14. Little A. 4. Reeves J. (C) 19. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 9. Davison J. 18. Bugiel O. 10. Al-Hamadi A.
Substitutes
12. Bendle A. 29. Brown R. 25. Dabo F. 4. Johnson D. 23. Omotoye T. 20. Searle J. (G) 10. Taylor M.	16. Ball J. 3. Brown L. 11. Neufville J. 15. Pearce A. 8. Pell H. 7. Tilley J. 1. Tzanev N. (G)
Coaches
Deeney T.	Jackson J.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Forest Green has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wimbledon is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Forest Green have a series of guest games.

In this match Wimbledon is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
29.12.23	Swindon Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
26.12.23	Newport County - Forest Green Rovers	4:2 ✺
22.12.23	Forest Green Rovers - Gillingham	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
19.12.23	Blackpool - Forest Green Rovers	3:0 ✺
English League Two
16.12.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL
- AFC Wimbledon
English League Two
29.12.23	AFC Wimbledon - Colchester United	5:3 ✺
26.12.23	AFC Wimbledon - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
22.12.23	Crawley Town - AFC Wimbledon	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.12.23	Portsmouth - AFC Wimbledon	2:5 ✺
English League Two
16.12.23	Salford City - AFC Wimbledon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
26.08.23	AFC Wimbledon - Forest Green Rovers	1:1
English FA Cup
07.11.15	AFC Wimbledon - Forest Green Rovers	1:2

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