Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 10

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Colegiales (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Loustau J. P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Colegiales		Ferro Carril Oeste

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.7	Watch
	3	2.75	2.45
	2.95	2.8	2.65	Watch
	3.05	2.67	2.76	Watch
	3	2.75	2.5
	2.95	2.71	2.62	Watch
	2.95	2.8	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.59)	2.75 ↓ (2.78)	2.62 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Colegiales
31%

Draw
33.6%

Ferro Carril Oeste
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

33.1%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

33.4%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colegiales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	42.9%	57.1%

Colegiales - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ferro Carril will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Di Fulvio E. (C) 4. Malagueno F. 2. Rasso I. 6. Martinez L. 3. Hanashiro F. 8. Montiel F. 5. Marin F. 7. Marra L. 11. Castillo L. 10. Robaldo V. 9. Gordillo L.	1. Monetti F. (G) 4. Boolsen P. 2. Rivero F. 6. Lorenzo A. 3. Ayala R. 8. Quiroga S. 5. Castellani G. (C) 7. Vallejos M. 11. Garcia F. 9. Benegas M. 10. Palacio P.
Substitutes
15. Cancio J. 20. Franco N. 17. Muller D. 16. Ortigoza I. 14. Rodriguez M. 12. Rojas J. (G) 13. Silguero S. 18. Torres L. 19. Villalba G.	20. Alonso A. 17. Campos M. 12. Ferrario R. (G) 15. Flores S. 18. Gonzalez T. 13. Meritello F. 14. Monserrat M. 19. Montiel N. 16. Nazareno K.
Coaches
Fernandez L.	Grelak A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Castellani G. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Castillo L. ↓, Silguero S. ↑,
56', Marra L. ↓, Cancio J. ↑,
56', Gordillo L. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
59', Boolsen P. ↓, Campos M. ↑,
59', Quiroga S. ↓, Alonso A. ↑,
64', Montiel F. ↓, Torres L. ↑,
67', Lorenzo A. 🟨,
70', Vallejos M. ↓, Nazareno K. ↑,
70', Palacio P. ↓, Gonzalez T. ↑,
80', Castellani G. ↓, Flores S. ↑,
80', Marin F. 🟨,
80', Robaldo V. ↓, Villalba G. ↑,
81', Villalba G. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Colegiales is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ferro Carril is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.04.25	Club Almagro - Colegiales	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Colegiales - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
26.03.25	Quilmes - Colegiales	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.03.25	Independiente - Colegiales	3:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.03.25	Colegiales - Racing de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTLLL
- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.04.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	All Boys - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Deportivo Madryn - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Maipú	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWTLW

Upcoming Matches