Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 7

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Delbarba J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Ferro Carril Oeste		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	5	Watch
	1.71	3.1	5.25
	1.77	3.1	5.2	Watch
	1.8	3	5.71	Watch
	1.75	3.1	5
	1.74	3.05	5.57
	1.77	3.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.71)	3.11 ↓ (3.23)	5.28 ↓ (5.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Carril Oeste
52.7%

Draw
29.8%

Alvarado
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

28.6%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

28.2%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Ferro Carril Oeste - Alvarado Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ferro Carril will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monetti F. (G) 4. Vallejos M. 2. Rivero F. 6. Lorenzo A. 3. Ayala R. 8. Cosi J. 5. Ramirez G. 11. Romero L. 10. Quiroga S. 7. Palacio P. 9. Benegas M.	1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Werro V. 2. Blasi B. (C) 6. Monzon L. 3. Gorgerino C. 8. Gobetto J. 5. Bolivar A. 10. Russo F. 11. Amilivia T. 7. Martinez E. 9. Ortiz D.
Substitutes
17. Ayala G. 13. Boolsen P. 19. Castellani G. 16. Esidin T. 15. Fernandez Pinto J. 12. Ferrario R. (G) 20. Garcia F. 18. Gonzalez T. 14. Meritello F.	16. Ascacibar J. 19. Bergara M. 20. Bolzicco T. 18. Borgnino M. 12. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 13. James J. 17. Martinez Candia C. A. 15. Ortale M. 14. Silva K.
Coaches
Grelak A.	Matteo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Rivero F. 🟨,
30', Romero L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinez E. ↓, Bergara M. ↑,
61', Quiroga S. ↓, Gonzalez T. ↑,
61', Romero L. ↓, Castellani G. ↑,
61', Palacio P. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
61', Amilivia T. ↓, Borgnino M. ↑,
73', Lorenzo A. 🟥,
75', Gobetto J. ↓, Ascacibar J. ↑,
75', Vallejos M. ↓, Boolsen P. ↑,
75', Ortiz D. ↓, Bolzicco T. ↑,
86', Benegas M. ↓, Fernandez Pinto J. ↑,
87', Russo F. ↓, Martinez Candia C. A. ↑,
87', Monzon L. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 16).

Recent matches Ferro Carril is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alvarado is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alvarado could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ferro Carril is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ferro Carril won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 1.8:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ferro Carril won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.03.25	Deportivo Madryn - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Maipú	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Tristán Suárez	0:0 ✺
17.02.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWTL
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.03.25	Alvarado - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	San Miguel - Alvarado	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Alvarado - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
24.02.25	Racing de Córdoba - Alvarado	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Alvarado - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.09.24	Alvarado - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:2
23.04.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Alvarado	3:0
01.10.22	Alvarado - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1
07.10.19	Ferro Carril Oeste - Alvarado	1:0

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