Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 29

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Colegiales (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Colegiales		Nueva Chicago

	1	X	2
	1.76	3	5.5
	1.77	3.10	4.80
	1.75	3	5.1	Watch
	1.84	3.05	5.67
	1.79	3.19	5.21	Watch
	1.8	3	5.6
	1.8	3.01	5.51
	1.78	3	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.08)	3.04 ↑ (2.85)	5.29 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colegiales
52%

Draw
30.5%

Nueva Chicago
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

32.7%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

32.9%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colegiales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colegiales's performance.

Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colegiales that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+5%)

Colegiales - Nueva Chicago Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Di Fulvio E. (G) 4. Malagueno F. 6. Ortiz L. 2. Rivero F. 3. Insua E. 5. Marin F. 11. Gonzalez L. 7. Martinez Montagnoli L. 8. Zicarelli F. 10. Castillo L. 9. Albertengo M.	1. Masuero F. (G) 4. Palazzo B. 2. Gissi D. 6. Paz G. (C) 3. Arroyo D. 5. Roldan E. 8. Rodriguez T. 7. Bergara M. 10. Cardozo E. 11. Ambrogio L. 9. Perez M.
Substitutes
13. Aguirre E. 12. Alcorcel A. (G) 14. Buenrostro T. 17. Juarez L. 19. Mamani M. 15. Miranda F. 16. Ocampo E. 20. Toloza N. 18. Trinidad E.	14. Antunes I. 17. Balbuena R. 12. Bersce L. (G) 18. Castro F. 15. Gonzalez A. 19. Pereyra J. 20. Petrecca N. 16. Rogoski M. 13. Zalazar R. E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Martinez Montagnoli L. ⚽, Zicarelli F. (A),
5', Paz G. 🟨,
6', Roldan E. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
44', Malagueno F. 🟨,
45+1', Ambrogio L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bergara M. ↓, Rogoski M. ↑,
46', Paz G. ↓, Zalazar R. E. ↑,
60', Monserrat R. E. ↓, Ocampo E. ↑,
60', Gonzalez L. ↓, Trinidad E. ↑,
65', Zicarelli F. 🟨,
72', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
73', Arroyo D. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
73', Perez M. ↓, Antunes I. ↑,
74', Zicarelli F. ↓, Toloza N. ↑,
74', Trinidad E. 🟨,
88', Albertengo M. ↓, Mamani M. ↑,
88', Castillo L. ↓, Miranda F. ↑,
90', Cardozo E. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 15).

Colegiales has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nueva Chicago is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Colegiales may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Colegiales is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Colegiales won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Colegiales - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.87%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.09.26	Temperley - Colegiales	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Colegiales - Ferrocarril Midland	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Colegiales - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Club Almagro - Colegiales	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	San Miguel - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWTL
- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.09.26	Nueva Chicago - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Nueva Chicago	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	San Martín de San Juan - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Nueva Chicago - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
17.08.26	All Boys - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.26	Nueva Chicago - Colegiales	0:0

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