The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nueva Chicago 27.8%
Draw 32.1%
Quilmes 40.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.3%
36.3%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
36.2%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Quilmes's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Quilmes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Nueva Chicago - Quilmes Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Masuero F. (G) 4. Palazzo B. 2. Gissi D. 6. Paz G. (C) 3. Arroyo D. 7. Ocampo T. 5. Roldan E. 8. Rodriguez T. 11. Ambrogio L. 9. Perez M. 10. Cardozo E.
1. Marinelli G. (G) 4. Ortega A. 2. Romeo L. 6. Kippes A. 3. Bindella A. 8. Ortega T. 5. Yozwiak F. 10. Batista A. 11. Vera U. 7. Vega G. 9. Spetale A.
Substitutes
13. Antunes I. 19. Balbuena R. 16. Bergara M. 12. Bersce L. (G) 18. Castro F. 15. Gonzalez A. 20. Pereyra J. 17. Rogoski M. 14. Zalazar R. E.
15. Bolivar A. 19. Bonacci P. 17. Colazo N. 20. Coronel J. 12. Glellel E. (G) 18. Martinez R. 13. Novillo J. 14. Vallejos M. 16. Yangali J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Ocampo T. ⚽, Perez M. (A),
16', Romeo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vega G. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
61', Cardozo E. ↓, Bergara M. ↑,
64', Ortega T. ↓, Colazo N. ↑,
64', Ortega A. ↓, Vallejos M. ↑,
71', Ambrogio L. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
71', Perez M. ↓, Rogoski M. ↑,
71', Arroyo D. ↓, Antunes I. ↑,
74', Ocampo T. 🟨,
74', Yozwiak F. ↓, Bonacci P. ↑,
75', Ocampo T. ↓, Zalazar R. E. ↑,
83', Romeo L. ↓, Coronel J. ↑,
90+2', Gissi D. 🟨,
90+2', Kippes A. 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nueva Chicago won 2.
Nueva Chicago has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Quilmes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Quilmes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Nueva Chicago has had a series of away games.
Recently, Quilmes has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
We predict that Quilmes will win today's game, with odds of 2.9.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nueva Chicago won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Nueva Chicago won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
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Masuero F. (G) 
Gissi D. 
Glellel E. (G) 
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