Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera B - Clausura - Round 21

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Venezuela	Inter
World	Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Colegiales		Sportivo Italiano

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.4	6
	1.55	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.5	3.48	7.55	Watch
	1.44	3.5	7.5
	1.5	3.55	7.45
	1.55	3.6	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.72)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	6.92 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colegiales
60.7%

Draw
26%

Sportivo Italiano
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

26%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

25.9%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colegiales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colegiales's performance.

Sportivo Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Italiano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colegiales that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Italiano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Colegiales - Sportivo Italiano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+8', Cabrera A. 🟥,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final) and 11).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Colegiales could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Colegiales is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Colegiales won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Colegiales won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera B
26.10.24	Argentino de Merlo - Colegiales	2:1 ✺
20.10.24	Colegiales - Liniers	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Comunicaciones - Colegiales	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Colegiales - Deportivo Armenio	1:0 ✺
30.09.24	Argentino de Quilmes - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWL
- Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera B
27.10.24	Sportivo Italiano - Sportivo Dock Sud	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Deportivo Flandria - Sportivo Italiano	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Sportivo Italiano - Villa San Carlos	4:0 ✺
05.10.24	Sportivo Italiano - Villa Dálmine	0:1 ✺
29.09.24	Argentino de Merlo - Sportivo Italiano	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
17.06.24	Sportivo Italiano - Colegiales	0:1
05.07.15	Colegiales - Sportivo Italiano	3:2

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