Match Info

Primera B - Round 25

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Republica de Italia Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sportivo Italiano		Villa San Carlos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.00	4.75
	1.83	3.05	4.30	Watch
	1.73	3.14	5.53
	1.7	3.14	5.38	Watch
	1.65	3.10	5.55
	1.81	3.20	4.91
	1.75	3.00	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.83)	3.09 ↑ (3.05)	5 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Italiano
52.3%

Draw
29.5%

Villa San Carlos
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

29.6%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

32.5%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Villa San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Sportivo Italiano - Villa San Carlos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yordan G. (G) 4. Bifiguer C. 7. Caceres P. 3. Fantino L. 10. Gimenez K. 8. Guerra A. 9. Guzman M. 11. Laborda L. 6. Merzario E. 2. Ordonez C. 5. Rivero J.	1. Akimenco T. (G) 11. Acosta A. 2. Esteves I. 8. Farias F. 9. Ferrante F. 5. Gonzalez E. 4. Lloyaiy A. 3. Martinez A. 6. Ojeda F. 7. Pavia K. 10. Ponton A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pavia K. ↓, Almiron M. ↑,
46', Acosta A. ↓, Fabi S. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Caceres P. ⚽,
66', Farias F. ↓, Melillo E. ↑,
66', Fabi S. 🟨,
71', 🟨,
71', Martinez A. ↓, Villagra J. ↑,
75', Gimenez K. ↓, Fortino R. ↑,
77', Ponton A. ↓, Guallama F. ↑,
81', Laborda L. ↓, De Cuadro J. ↑,
81', Caceres P. ↓, Hirigoyen T. ↑,
84', 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Sportivo Italiano is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Italiano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sportivo Italiano	38	18	11	9	45:28	17	65
13	Villa San Carlos	38	11	14	13	37:39	-2	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera B
10.07.26	Liniers - Sportivo Italiano	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Sportivo Italiano - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
28.06.26	UAI Urquiza - Sportivo Italiano	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Villa Dálmine - Sportivo Italiano	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTTLL
- CA Villa San Carlos
Argentinian Primera B
10.07.26	Villa San Carlos - San Martín de Burzaco	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Ituzaingó - Villa San Carlos	1:3 ✺
28.06.26	Liniers - Villa San Carlos	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Real Pilar - Villa San Carlos	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Villa San Carlos - UAI Urquiza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
03.03.26	Villa San Carlos - Sportivo Italiano	0:1
05.09.25	Sportivo Italiano - Villa San Carlos	0:0
19.04.25	Villa San Carlos - Sportivo Italiano	2:1
12.10.24	Sportivo Italiano - Villa San Carlos	4:0
25.05.24	Villa San Carlos - Sportivo Italiano	2:2
Argentinian Primera C
03.02.19	Villa San Carlos - Sportivo Italiano	0:0
26.08.18	Sportivo Italiano - Villa San Carlos	0:1

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