Match Info

Primera B - Round 30

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Republica de Italia Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sportivo Italiano		Sportivo Dock Sud

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.10
	2.25	2.82	3.1	Watch
	2.43	2.99	3.1
	2.25	3	3.17	Watch
	2.45	2.7	3.05
	2.38	3.08	3.08
	2.24	2.85	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.04)	2.91 ↓ (3.03)	3.1 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Italiano
39.4%

Draw
31.2%

Sportivo Dock Sud
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

29.9%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

29.6%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Sportivo Dock Sud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Italiano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Dock Sud than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Sportivo Italiano - Sportivo Dock Sud Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yordan G. (G) 4. Bifiguer C. 3. Fantino L. 10. Gimenez K. 8. Guzman L. 9. Guzman M. 7. Laborda L. 6. Merzario E. 11. Molina F. 2. Ordonez C. 5. Rivero J.	1. Tello T. (G) 11. Alvarez I. 5. Avalos A. 3. Barreiro A. 10. Gomez G. 4. Guerrero N. 6. Meza F. 8. Perrone H. 7. Villalba B. 2. Villarreal S. 9. Vivas S.
Substitutes
12. Alastra A. (G) 20. Caceres P. 15. Daivez A. 16. De Cuadro J. 13. Di Massimo F. 14. Durante P. 17. Fortino R. 19. Gomez F. 18. Hirigoyen T.	20. Arriola B. 18. Chamorro T. 12. Cuenca E. (G) 13. Gauna M. 15. Gualtieri G. 16. Nicolaievsky F. 14. Obregon J. 17. Perez R. 19. Venetucci V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Gomez G. 🟨,
12', Avalos A. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Guzman M. ⚽,
17', Rivero J. 🟨,
21', Bifiguer C. 🟨,
38', Alvarez I. 🟨,
43', Perrone H. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Molina F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 3 - 0, Guzman M. ⚽,
58', Alvarez I. ↓, Venetucci V. ↑,
58', Gomez G. ↓, Chamorro T. ↑,
58', Avalos A. ↓, Gualtieri G. ↑,
58', Bifiguer C. ↓, Durante P. ↑,
58', Molina F. ↓, Gomez F. ↑,
67', 4 - 0, Gimenez K. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Sportivo Italiano could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Italiano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sportivo Italiano	38	18	11	9	45:28	17	65
12	Dock Sud	38	11	14	13	40:42	-2	47

Last Results with these Odds

Sportivo Italiano - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 44.38%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Sportivo Dock Sud - the odds 3.53 are the expected chance of winning is 25.69%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera B
08.08.26	Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano	0:4 ✺
01.08.26	Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Camioneros	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Ituzaingó - Sportivo Italiano	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Sportivo Italiano	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Sportivo Italiano - Villa San Carlos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTTWW
- Sportivo Dock Sud
Argentinian Primera B
09.08.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - San Martín de Burzaco	4:1 ✺
02.08.26	Villa San Carlos - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Liniers	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Real Pilar - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:1 ✺
14.07.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - UAI Urquiza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
05.04.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Sportivo Italiano	1:3
15.09.25	Sportivo Dock Sud - Sportivo Italiano	0:0
29.04.25	Sportivo Italiano - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:1
27.10.24	Sportivo Italiano - Sportivo Dock Sud	2:0
08.06.24	Sportivo Dock Sud - Sportivo Italiano	2:0
Argentinian Primera C
03.10.21	Sportivo Dock Sud - Sportivo Italiano	1:2
15.05.21	Sportivo Italiano - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:1

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