Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Argentino de Merlo		Sportivo Italiano

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.92	2.12
	3.32	3.01	2.18	Watch
	3.25	2.9	2.12
	3.33	2.98	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.1)	2.95 ↑ (2.9)	2.14 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentino de Merlo
27.4%

Draw
30.5%

Sportivo Italiano
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

30.4%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

29.1%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentino de Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Argentino de Merlo - Sportivo Italiano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 14th and 4th in the Promotion - Primera B Promotion - Playoffs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Merlo won 2.

Argentino de Merlo is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sportivo Italiano is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Sportivo Italiano may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sportivo Italiano holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Argentino de Merlo has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:16 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Argentino de Merlo against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 10:10 goals (averaging 1.7:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sportivo Italiano	38	18	11	9	45:28	17	65
14	Argentino de Merlo	38	11	11	16	33:39	-6	44

Last Results with these Odds

Argentino de Merlo - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 28.48%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Sportivo Italiano - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 41.07%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentino de Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
03.10.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Argentino de Merlo	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Argentino de Merlo - Villa San Carlos	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Liniers - Argentino de Merlo	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Argentino de Merlo - Real Pilar	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	UAI Urquiza - Argentino de Merlo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLL
- Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera B
04.10.26	Sportivo Italiano - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Sportivo Italiano	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Sportivo Italiano - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Deportivo Armenio - Sportivo Italiano	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Flandria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
31.05.26	Sportivo Italiano - Argentino de Merlo	0:2
13.07.25	Argentino de Merlo - Sportivo Italiano	1:1
23.02.25	Sportivo Italiano - Argentino de Merlo	0:0
29.09.24	Argentino de Merlo - Sportivo Italiano	5:1
11.05.24	Sportivo Italiano - Argentino de Merlo	1:1
Argentinian Primera C
07.08.22	Argentino de Merlo - Sportivo Italiano	1:2
04.04.22	Sportivo Italiano - Argentino de Merlo	0:0

Argentino de Merlo - Sportivo Italiano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide