Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 24

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Colima		Mineros de Fresnillo

	1	X	2
	3.79	4.7	1.54
	3.98	4.93	1.58	Watch
	4	4	1.62
	4.25	4.7	1.53
	4	3.75	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 (4)	4.42 ↑ (3.75)	1.58 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colima
22.5%

Draw
20.4%

Mineros de Fresnillo
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

23.5%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

22.9%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Mineros de Fresnillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colima than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Colima - Mineros de Fresnillo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colima won 1.

Colima is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mineros de Fresnillo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Colima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mineros de Fresnillo is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Colima won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Colima won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colima FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
13.03.26	Cimarrones de Sonora - Colima	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Colima - Ensenada	4:1 ✺
21.02.26	Colima - Alacranes de Durango	1:4 ✺
14.02.26	La Piedad - Colima	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Colima - Tuzos UAZ	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLL
- Mineros de Fresnillo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
14.03.26	Mineros de Fresnillo - Leones Negros 2	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Los Cabos United - Mineros de Fresnillo	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tigres de Álica	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Tritones Vallarta - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tecos FC	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
08.11.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Colima	3:0
09.03.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Colima	3:2
07.10.23	Colima - Mineros de Fresnillo	1:1
19.02.22	Mineros de Fresnillo - Colima	0:0
16.10.21	Colima - Mineros de Fresnillo	5:0
09.10.20	Mineros de Fresnillo - Colima	1:1

Colima - Mineros de Fresnillo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide