Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 21

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Mineros de Fresnillo		Tigres de Álica

	1	X	2
	3.14	3.25	2.09
	3.13	3.39	2.12	Watch
	3.1	3	2.15
	3.03	3.66	2.14
	3.4	3.25	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.4)	3.31 ↑ (3.25)	2.09 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mineros de Fresnillo
28.8%

Draw
27.5%

Tigres de Álica
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

27.5%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

25.6%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mineros de Fresnillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Tigres de Álica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres de Álica than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tigres de Álica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mineros de Fresnillo - Tigres de Álica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
88', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Mineros de Fresnillo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tigres de Álica is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tigres de Álica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tigres de Álica has had a series of home games.

Tigres de Álica will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Fresnillo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Mineros de Fresnillo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mineros de Fresnillo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.02.26	Tritones Vallarta - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tecos FC	3:2 ✺
31.01.26	Tuzos UAZ - Mineros de Fresnillo	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Mineros de Fresnillo - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:3 penalties ✺
10.01.26	Mineros de Fresnillo - Zapotlanejo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWTLW
- Tigres de Álica FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.02.26	Tigres de Álica - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Tigres de Álica - Zapotlanejo	5:1 ✺
30.01.26	Alacranes de Durango - Tigres de Álica	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Tigres de Álica - La Piedad	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Tigres de Álica - Colima	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
13.10.25	Tigres de Álica - Mineros de Fresnillo	0:1
18.01.25	Tigres de Álica - Mineros de Fresnillo	1:0
14.09.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tigres de Álica	0:1

Mineros de Fresnillo - Tigres de Álica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide