Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 20

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Tritones Vallarta		Mineros de Fresnillo

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.42	3.93	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.86	3.63	3.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.69)	3.38 ↓ (3.6)	3.9 ↓ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tritones Vallarta
49.4%

Draw
27.1%

Mineros de Fresnillo
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25.2%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tritones Vallarta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Mineros de Fresnillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Tritones Vallarta - Mineros de Fresnillo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tritones Vallarta won 2.

Recent performances by Tritones Vallarta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tritones Vallarta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tritones Vallarta has had a series of away games.

In this match, Tritones Vallarta is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tritones Vallarta won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Tritones Vallarta won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tritones Vallarta MFC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
13.02.26	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tritones Vallarta	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Tritones Vallarta - Ensenada	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Zapotlanejo - Tritones Vallarta	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Alacranes de Durango - Tritones Vallarta	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	La Piedad - Tritones Vallarta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLW
- Mineros de Fresnillo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
14.02.26	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tecos FC	3:2 ✺
31.01.26	Tuzos UAZ - Mineros de Fresnillo	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Mineros de Fresnillo - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:3 penalties ✺
10.01.26	Mineros de Fresnillo - Zapotlanejo	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Alacranes de Durango	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
04.10.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tritones Vallarta	2:2
25.01.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tritones Vallarta	2:0
21.09.24	Tritones Vallarta - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:1
14.10.23	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tritones Vallarta	0:0
28.01.23	Tritones Vallarta - Mineros de Fresnillo	3:0
10.09.22	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tritones Vallarta	0:1
09.03.22	Tritones Vallarta - Mineros de Fresnillo	4:1

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